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Savignanese vs Crema - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D 2019/2020
Our Tip

Match Events

55' Event
Giosu D.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group D 2019/2020 game between Savignanese and Crema finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Crema.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Savignanese
20%
Draws
30%
Crema
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Savignanese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Crema carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Savignanese taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group D 2019/2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Savignanese Clean Sheet 68%
Crema Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Savignanese Crema
Matches Played 21 30
Wins 4 7
Draws 7 8
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 0.9 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2020 Serie D - Group D
Crema vs Savignanese
0:0
Dec 22, 2019 Serie D - Group D
Savignanese vs Crema
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Savignanese Compare

Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Crema Compare

Top Goalscorer Giosu D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.73
Avg xA / game 0.44

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Savignanese 95 / 100
Crema 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Savignanese Crema

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Savignanese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Savignanese's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 21 recent games.

Crema has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Savignanese remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Crema's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Crema
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Savignanese

(Home)
23 Feb
Savignanese
1 : 1
Sammaurese
16 Feb
Desenzano Calvina
3 : 0
Savignanese
09 Feb
Savignanese
1 : 0
Breno
02 Feb
Ciliverghe Mazzano
3 : 2
Savignanese
26 Jan
Savignanese
0 : 0
Franciacorta
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Crema

(Away)
04 Oct
Crema
3 : 2
Varese FC
27 Sept
Castellanzese
4 : 0
Crema
20 Sept
Crema
0 : 3
Pro Sesto
16 Sept
Pro Patria
2 : 0
Crema
13 Sept
Crema
1 : 3
Pistoiese
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