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Savignanese vs Sammaurese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D 2019/2020
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Scarponi M.
33' Event
Spighi M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group D 2019/2020 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Savignanese
30%
Draws
31%
Sammaurese
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Savignanese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Sammaurese have won more games recently than Savignanese.
  • Model gives Savignanese a 39% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group D 2019/2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Savignanese Clean Sheet 19%
Sammaurese Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Savignanese Sammaurese
Matches Played 21 39
Wins 4 7
Draws 7 10
Losses 10 22
Goals Scored 0.9 0.82
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 23, 2020 Serie D - Group D
Savignanese vs Sammaurese
1:1
Oct 20, 2019 Serie D - Group D
Sammaurese vs Savignanese
0:2
Apr 7, 2019 Serie D - Group F
Sammaurese vs Savignanese
1:2
Dec 2, 2018 Serie D - Group F
Savignanese vs Sammaurese
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Savignanese Compare

Top Goalscorer Spighi M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

Sammaurese Compare

Top Goalscorer Scarponi M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Savignanese 58 / 100
Sammaurese 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Savignanese Sammaurese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Savignanese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Savignanese found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (21 games).

Sammaurese's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 39 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Savignanese has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Sammaurese
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Savignanese

(Home)
23 Feb
Savignanese
1 : 1
Sammaurese
16 Feb
Desenzano Calvina
3 : 0
Savignanese
09 Feb
Savignanese
1 : 0
Breno
02 Feb
Ciliverghe Mazzano
3 : 2
Savignanese
26 Jan
Savignanese
0 : 0
Franciacorta
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Sammaurese

(Away)
03 May
San Marino Calcio
1 : 0
Sammaurese
26 Apr
Sammaurese
2 : 0
Atletico Ascoli
19 Apr
Ancona
3 : 0
Sammaurese
15 Apr
Termoli
1 : 0
Sammaurese
12 Apr
Sammaurese
0 : 0
Aquila Calcio
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