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Savona vs Casale - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2019/2020
Sun, Mar 22, 2020
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Savona host Casale in the Serie D - Group A 2019/2020. This has Savona written all over it on paper. Recent numbers: Savona at 1.33 goals for, 1.24 against; Casale at 0.48 for, 2.35 against. Past meetings favor Casale slightly — 0-1-4 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 22, 2020, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 2.10 vs 0.93, favoring Savona. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Savona
30%
Draws
12%
Casale
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Savona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Savona come out ahead of Casale on wins alone.
  • Savona are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Savona Clean Sheet 20%
Casale Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Savona Casale
Matches Played 21 31
Wins 9 1
Draws 5 6
Losses 7 24
Goals Scored 1.33 0.48
Goals Conceded 1.24 2.35
Expected Goals (xG) 2.10 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2020 Serie D - Group A
Savona vs Casale
0:0
Nov 10, 2019 Serie D - Group A
Casale vs Savona
0:0
Mar 24, 2019 Serie D - Group A
Casale vs Savona
0:0
Nov 18, 2018 Serie D - Group A
Savona vs Casale
0:1
Jan 13, 2013 Lega Pro C2/A
Casale vs Savona
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Savona 76 / 100
Casale 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Savona Casale

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Savona Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Savona scored in 81% of their last 21 games.

Casale has conceded goals in 94% of their last 31 outings.

Savona went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: Casale registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Casale
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 3
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Savona

(Home)
23 Feb
Bra
0 : 1
Savona
16 Feb
Savona
1 : 2
Lucchese
09 Feb
Lavagnese
0 : 0
Savona
02 Feb
Savona
2 : 1
Vado
26 Jan
Fezzanese
0 : 1
Savona
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Casale

(Away)
07 May
Casale
1 : 1
Asti Calcio
30 Apr
Chisola
2 : 1
Casale
23 Apr
Casale
2 : 2
Pinerolo
15 Apr
Sanremese
1 : 0
Casale
06 Apr
Casale
0 : 2
Castanese
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