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Savona vs Finale

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group E 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group E 2017/2018 game between Savona and Finale finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Savona.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Savona
20%
Draws
7%
Finale
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Savona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Savona come out ahead of Finale on wins alone.
  • 73% — that's where the model lands on Savona taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Savona here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Savona Clean Sheet 19%
Finale Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Savona Finale
Matches Played 23 30
Wins 11 4
Draws 5 11
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 1.35 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 18, 2018 Serie D - Group E
Savona vs Finale
2:0
Oct 15, 2017 Serie D - Group E
Finale vs Savona
0:1
Apr 9, 2017 Serie D - Group E
Finale vs Savona
1:1
Nov 27, 2016 Serie D - Group E
Savona vs Finale
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Savona 85 / 100
Finale 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Savona Finale

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Savona Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Savona found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (23 games).

Defensive concern: Finale conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Savona remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Savona VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Savona

(Home)
23 Feb
Bra
0 : 1
Savona
16 Feb
Savona
1 : 2
Lucchese
09 Feb
Lavagnese
0 : 0
Savona
02 Feb
Savona
2 : 1
Vado
26 Jan
Fezzanese
0 : 1
Savona
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Finale

(Away)
06 May
Finale
1 : 2
Scandicci
29 Apr
Sestri Levante
2 : 0
Finale
22 Apr
Finale
1 : 3
Albissola
15 Apr
Viareggio
2 : 0
Finale
08 Apr
Finale
1 : 1
Sanremese
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Albissola 34 21 6 7 56:30 69
2 Sanremese 34 20 7 7 58:34 67
3 FC Ponsacco 34 17 11 6 49:31 62
4 Real Forte Querceta 34 16 12 6 50:27 60
5 Viareggio 34 17 9 8 57:46 58
6 Massese 34 15 11 8 50:33 56
7 Savona 34 16 7 11 53:34 55
8 Seravezza Pozzi 34 13 12 9 44:33 51
9 San Donato Tavarnelle 34 12 10 12 41:34 46
10 Ghiviborgo 34 10 14 10 48:45 44
11 Ligorna 34 11 10 13 41:50 43
12 Sestri Levante 34 11 9 14 35:34 42
13 Lavagnese 34 11 8 15 35:42 41
14 Rignanese 34 10 8 16 36:60 38
15 Scandicci 34 10 4 20 42:54 34
16 Finale 34 6 12 16 38:49 30
17 Argentina 34 4 9 21 29:71 21
18 Valdinievole Montecatini 34 2 9 23 19:74 15
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group E 2017/2018 (Play Offs)