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Savona vs Ligorna - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2019/2020
Sun, Apr 5, 2020
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Savona host Ligorna in the Serie D - Group A 2019/2020. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Savona have averaged 1.33 scored and 1.24 conceded recently, against Ligorna's 1.97 scored and 1.03 conceded. Past meetings favor Savona slightly — 1-1-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 5, 2020, ending 0:0. xG projections (0.92 - 1.18) back Ligorna to edge this. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Savona
15%
Draws
40%
Ligorna
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Savona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Ligorna carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Savona a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Savona Clean Sheet 20%
Ligorna Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Savona Ligorna
Matches Played 21 36
Wins 9 21
Draws 5 8
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 1.33 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2020 Serie D - Group A
Savona vs Ligorna
0:0
Nov 24, 2019 Serie D - Group A
Ligorna vs Savona
2:3
May 12, 2019 Serie D - Group A
Savona vs Ligorna
1:2
May 5, 2019 Serie D - Group A
Savona vs Ligorna
1:1
Dec 23, 2018 Serie D - Group A
Ligorna vs Savona
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Savona 36 / 100
Ligorna 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Savona Ligorna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Savona scored in 81% of their last 21 outings.

Ligorna has conceded goals in 69% of their last 36 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Solid form: Savona remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ligorna
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Savona

(Home)
23 Feb
Bra
0 : 1
Savona
16 Feb
Savona
1 : 2
Lucchese
09 Feb
Lavagnese
0 : 0
Savona
02 Feb
Savona
2 : 1
Vado
26 Jan
Fezzanese
0 : 1
Savona
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Ligorna

(Away)
04 Oct
Ligorna
2 : 1
Saluzzo
27 Sept
Chisola
1 : 2
Ligorna
20 Sept
Celle Varazze
0 : 2
Ligorna
16 Sept
Ligorna
2 : 3
Derthona FbC
13 Sept
AS Biellese
3 : 1
Ligorna
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