Sport Picks
SB Castelo Branco vs Fatima
Portugal
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2025/2026 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
SB Castelo Branco in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored SB Castelo Branco.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to SB Castelo Branco lately — more wins on the board than Fatima.
- 41% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | SB Castelo Branco | Fatima |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 8 |
| Draws | 4 | 8 |
| Losses | 9 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.82 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.04 | 1.24 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
SB Castelo Branco Compare
Fatima Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: SB Castelo Branco scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.
Defensive concern: Fatima conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.
Games between these two average 1.80 goals.
Recent resilience: SB Castelo Branco stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
SB Castelo Branco
(Home)Fatima
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vitoria Sernache | 26 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 33:12 | 55 |
| 2 | Oliveira Hospital | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 39:13 | 50 |
| 3 | Naval 1893 | 26 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 36:23 | 48 |
| 4 | SB Castelo Branco | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 43:26 | 46 |
| 5 | Uniao Da Serra | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 38:27 | 44 |
| 6 | Mortagua FC | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 23:26 | 39 |
| 7 | Os Marialvas | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 33:28 | 36 |
| 8 | Fatima | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 27:29 | 32 |
| 9 | Lajense | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 37:37 | 32 |
| 10 | GD Peniche | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 34:43 | 30 |
| 11 | Samora Correia | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 27:35 | 29 |
| 12 | Marinhense | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 20:38 | 24 |
| 13 | Electrico FC | 26 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 33:62 | 19 |
| 14 | SC Lusitania | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 24:48 | 17 |
