Sport Picks
SB Castelo Branco vs O Elvas CAD - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Portugal
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 
Match Events
20'
20'
Cotao P.
59'
59'
Cotao P.
63'
63'
Quinaz Pereira M. P. A.
AI Match Summary
O Elvas CAD in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group C matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored O Elvas CAD.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
15%
48%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: O Elvas CAD
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
48%
/ Medium Confidence
- O Elvas CAD haven't matched SB Castelo Branco's recent run of results.
- O Elvas CAD are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- O Elvas CAD have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
SB Castelo Branco Clean Sheet 10%
O Elvas CAD Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | SB Castelo Branco | O Elvas CAD |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 16 | 13 |
| Draws | 3 | 7 |
| Losses | 10 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.66 | 1.66 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.21 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 25, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
SB Castelo Branco vs O Elvas CAD
1:3
Feb 1, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
SB Castelo Branco vs O Elvas CAD
0:2
Sep 15, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
O Elvas CAD vs SB Castelo Branco
3:0
Aug 30, 2008 Taça de Portugal
SB Castelo Branco vs O Elvas CAD
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
SB Castelo Branco Compare
Top Goalscorer Quinaz Pereira M. P. A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
O Elvas CAD Compare
Top Goalscorer Cotao P.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
SB Castelo Branco 26 / 100
O Elvas CAD 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
SB Castelo Branco O Elvas CAD
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick O Elvas CAD Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
SB Castelo Branco scored in 83% of their last 29 games.
Defensive concern: O Elvas CAD conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.75 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: SB Castelo Branco stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
SB Castelo Branco VS O Elvas CAD
1.25 Goals Scored 2
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
SB Castelo Branco
(Home) 01 Nov
Malveira
2 : 2 SB Castelo Branco
25 Oct
SB Castelo Branco
1 : 3 O Elvas CAD
11 Oct
Mortagua FC
0 : 1 SB Castelo Branco
13 Sept
SB Castelo Branco
2 : 3 Nogueirense
06 Sept
Alverca B
0 : 1 SB Castelo Branco
Page 1 of 6
25 Oct
SB Castelo Branco
1 : 3 O Elvas CAD
13 Sept
SB Castelo Branco
2 : 3 Nogueirense
23 Aug
SB Castelo Branco
1 : 4 Naval 1893
12 Apr
SB Castelo Branco
1 : 2 Samora Correia
21 Mar
SB Castelo Branco
1 : 1 Oliveira Hospital
Page 1 of 3
O Elvas CAD
(Away) 01 Nov
O Elvas CAD
3 : 1 Naval 1893
25 Oct
SB Castelo Branco
1 : 3 O Elvas CAD
11 Oct
O Elvas CAD
1 : 2 Uniao Da Serra
27 Sept
O Elvas CAD
2 : 0 Sertanense
19 Sept
O Elvas CAD
0 : 2 Leiria
Page 1 of 6
25 Oct
SB Castelo Branco
1 : 3 O Elvas CAD
13 Sept
Fazendense
1 : 2 O Elvas CAD
23 Aug
GD Os Nazarenos
0 : 1 O Elvas CAD
12 Apr
Industria
0 : 0 O Elvas CAD
22 Mar
GD Alcochetense
2 : 0 O Elvas CAD
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Os Marialvas | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12:4 | 16 |
| 2 | O Elvas CAD | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 13:6 | 16 |
| 3 | Mortagua FC | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11:5 | 14 |
| 4 | Oliveira Hospital | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13:9 | 14 |
| 5 | Uniao Da Serra | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10:8 | 12 |
| 6 | SB Castelo Branco | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11:14 | 10 |
| 7 | Malveira | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:11 | 9 |
| 8 | Fatima | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 15:11 | 8 |
| 9 | Nogueirense | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 11:13 | 8 |
| 10 | Naval 1893 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7:9 | 7 |
| 11 | Alverca B | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10:7 | 7 |
| 12 | Sertanense | 7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 5:9 | 5 |
| 13 | GD Os Nazarenos | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:12 | 5 |
| 14 | Fazendense | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8:23 | 1 |
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Relegation Group 2026/2027 (Main)
