Sport Picks
SB Castelo Branco vs Os Marialvas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Portugal
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 
AI Match Summary
SB Castelo Branco host Os Marialvas in the Campeonato de Portugal - Group C. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: SB Castelo Branco at 1.58 goals for, 1.13 against; Os Marialvas at 1.32 for, 0.84 against. Head-to-head, SB Castelo Branco have won 0 to Os Marialvas's 4, with 0 draws. They last met on Jan 25, 2026, ending 0:1. xG projections (1.00 - 1.88) back Os Marialvas to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: NG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and SB Castelo Branco come out ahead of Os Marialvas on wins alone.
- 47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group C form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Os Marialvas here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | SB Castelo Branco | Os Marialvas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 31 |
| Wins | 17 | 14 |
| Draws | 4 | 8 |
| Losses | 10 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.58 | 1.32 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 0.84 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
SB Castelo Branco's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Recent resilience: SB Castelo Branco stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Defensive concern: Os Marialvas conceded in 58% of 31 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
SB Castelo Branco
(Home)Os Marialvas
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Os Marialvas | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12:4 | 16 |
| 2 | O Elvas CAD | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 13:6 | 16 |
| 3 | Mortagua FC | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11:5 | 14 |
| 4 | Oliveira Hospital | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13:9 | 14 |
| 5 | Uniao Da Serra | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10:8 | 12 |
| 6 | SB Castelo Branco | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11:14 | 10 |
| 7 | Malveira | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:11 | 9 |
| 8 | Fatima | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 15:11 | 8 |
| 9 | Nogueirense | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 11:13 | 8 |
| 10 | Naval 1893 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7:9 | 7 |
| 11 | Alverca B | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10:7 | 7 |
| 12 | Sertanense | 7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 5:9 | 5 |
| 13 | GD Os Nazarenos | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:12 | 5 |
| 14 | Fazendense | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8:23 | 1 |
