Sport Picks

Stadium Background

SB Castelo Branco vs SC Pombal - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Duarte S.
32'
Nunes L.
32'
Pedro R.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2024/2025 game between SB Castelo Branco and SC Pombal finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SC Pombal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
SB Castelo Branco
15%
Draws
42%
SC Pombal
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SB Castelo Branco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • SC Pombal haven't matched SB Castelo Branco's recent run of results.
  • 42% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
SB Castelo Branco Clean Sheet 23%
SC Pombal Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SB Castelo Branco SC Pombal
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 10
Draws 3 8
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.7 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 9, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
SB Castelo Branco vs SC Pombal
1:3
Nov 10, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
SC Pombal vs SB Castelo Branco
0:1
Dec 28, 2014 Campeonato de Portugal - Group E
SC Pombal vs SB Castelo Branco
1:2
Oct 12, 2014 Campeonato de Portugal - Group E
SB Castelo Branco vs SC Pombal
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SB Castelo Branco Compare

Top Goalscorer Duarte S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

SC Pombal Compare

Top Goalscorer Correia P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SB Castelo Branco 37 / 100
SC Pombal 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SB Castelo Branco SC Pombal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SC Pombal Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SB Castelo Branco's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

SC Pombal has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

SC Pombal's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

SB Castelo Branco VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

SB Castelo Branco

(Home)
13 Sept
SB Castelo Branco
2 : 3
Nogueirense
06 Sept
Alverca B
0 : 1
SB Castelo Branco
29 Aug
Fatima
3 : 1
SB Castelo Branco
23 Aug
SB Castelo Branco
1 : 4
Naval 1893
16 Aug
Oliveira Hospital
2 : 3
SB Castelo Branco
Page 1 of 6

SC Pombal

(Away)
13 Apr
SC Pombal
1 : 3
Marinhense
06 Apr
O Elvas CAD
4 : 0
SC Pombal
29 Mar
GD Peniche
0 : 3
SC Pombal
16 Mar
SC Pombal
0 : 3
Fatima
09 Mar
SB Castelo Branco
1 : 3
SC Pombal
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 O Elvas CAD 26 20 5 1 41:10 65
2 Fatima 26 14 7 5 30:12 49
3 Arronches Benfica 26 13 9 4 27:17 48
4 GD Peniche 26 10 9 7 31:23 39
5 Os Marialvas 26 9 10 7 30:28 37
6 Mortagua FC 26 8 13 5 23:21 37
7 Marinhense 26 9 9 8 24:21 36
8 Alverca B 26 9 8 9 28:25 35
9 SB Castelo Branco 26 8 10 8 23:21 34
10 SC Pombal 26 8 8 10 29:34 32
11 Uniao de Coimbra 26 6 7 13 26:44 25
12 Sertanense 26 4 9 13 23:33 21
13 Alcains 26 4 6 16 17:36 18
14 Pero Pinheiro 26 2 6 18 12:39 12
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025 (Promotion Group)