Sport Picks

Stadium Background

SB Chiemgau Traunstein vs Bogen

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bayern Nord 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with SB Chiemgau Traunstein advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
SB Chiemgau Traunstein
20%
Draws
40%
Bogen
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • SB Chiemgau Traunstein carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • SB Chiemgau Traunstein have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor SB Chiemgau Traunstein, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
SB Chiemgau Traunstein Clean Sheet 20%
Bogen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SB Chiemgau Traunstein Bogen
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 11 6
Draws 3 4
Losses 18 20
Goals Scored 1.38 0.87
Goals Conceded 2 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 3.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 3, 2017 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Bogen vs SB Chiemgau Traunstein
1:1
May 31, 2017 Oberliga Bayern Nord
SB Chiemgau Traunstein vs Bogen
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SB Chiemgau Traunstein 32 / 100
Bogen 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SB Chiemgau Traunstein Bogen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bogen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bogen let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

SB Chiemgau Traunstein's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Bogen lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SB Chiemgau Traunstein VS Bogen
1.75 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 5
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

SB Chiemgau Traunstein

(Home)
24 Jun
FC Botosani
5 : 0
SB Chiemgau Traunstein
24 Jun
Buchbach
5 : 1
SB Chiemgau Traunstein
03 Jun
Turkspor Augsburg
0 : 0
SB Chiemgau Traunstein
31 May
SB Chiemgau Traunstein
0 : 2
Turkspor Augsburg
01 Jul
Garching
4 : 2
SB Chiemgau Traunstein
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Bogen

(Away)
08 Feb
Hankofen-Hailing
5 : 0
Bogen
03 Jun
Bogen
1 : 1
SB Chiemgau Traunstein
31 May
SB Chiemgau Traunstein
2 : 0
Bogen
20 May
Bogen
1 : 2
Ismaning
13 May
TSV Schwabmunchen
4 : 0
Bogen
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Jahn Forchheim 6
Alemannia Haibach 2
TBD -
Erlenbach -
Erlangen 3
Regensburg II 0
TBD -
Feucht -
Landsberg 3
Turkspor Augsburg 3
TBD -
Wolfratshausen -
SB Chiemgau Traunstein 3
SV Donaustauf 1
TBD -
Bogen -
Final
Jahn Forchheim 1
Erlenbach 4
Erlangen 3
Feucht 2
Landsberg 1
Wolfratshausen 6
SB Chiemgau Traunstein 3
Bogen 1