Sport Picks

Stadium Background

SBV Excelsior W vs Ajax W Prediction & H2H Stats

Netherlands Netherlands

Eredivisie Women 2025/2026 Stadion Woudestein, Rotterdam
SBV Excelsior W Logo

SBV Excelsior W

0 - 2
FT
Ajax W Logo

Ajax W

Our Tip

Match Events

24'
Balkhir H.
37'
Sub
De Klonia D. In: van Hensbergen J.
Out: De Klonia D.
41'
Gomez I.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Eredivisie Women 2025/2026 game between SBV Excelsior W and Ajax W finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ajax W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
SBV Excelsior W
15%
Draws
85%
Ajax W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ajax W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Ajax W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Ajax W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Ajax W have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
SBV Excelsior W Clean Sheet 10%
Ajax W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SBV Excelsior W Ajax W
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 4 19
Draws 2 4
Losses 21 7
Goals Scored 1 2.17
Goals Conceded 2.26 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 2.15
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Eredivisie Women
SBV Excelsior W vs Ajax W
0:2
Oct 12, 2025 Eredivisie Women
Ajax W vs SBV Excelsior W
3:0
May 17, 2025 Eredivisie Women
SBV Excelsior W vs Ajax W
1:3
Dec 22, 2024 Eredivisie Women
Ajax W vs SBV Excelsior W
3:1
Jan 20, 2024 Eredivisie Women
Ajax W vs SBV Excelsior W
6:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SBV Excelsior W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Ajax W Compare

Top Goalscorer Kip X.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.95
Avg xA / game 1.19

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SBV Excelsior W 10 / 100
Ajax W 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SBV Excelsior W Ajax W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ajax W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

SBV Excelsior W scored in 56% of their last 27 games.

Ajax W has conceded goals in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Ajax W lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SBV Excelsior W VS Ajax W
0 Goals Scored 1.63
2.67 Goals Conceded 1
67% Over 1.5 75%
67% Over 2.5 63%
33% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

SBV Excelsior W

(Home)
18 Jul
SBV Excelsior W
0 : 4
De Graafschap W
22 May
AZ Alkmaar W
1 : 0
SBV Excelsior W
08 May
SBV Excelsior W
0 : 3
Feyenoord W
03 May
SBV Excelsior W
0 : 2
Ajax W
26 Apr
PEC Zwolle W
4 : 1
SBV Excelsior W
Page 1 of 6

Ajax W

(Away)
04 Oct
Feyenoord W
1 : 4
Ajax W
30 Sept
Aktobe W
1 : 0
Ajax W
26 Sept
Ajax W
7 : 1
Den Haag W
23 Sept
Ajax W
8 : 0
Aktobe W
19 Sept
Ajax W
5 : 1
AZ Alkmaar W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSV W 22 17 3 2 56:15 54
2 Ajax W 22 15 5 2 55:18 50
3 Feyenoord W 22 14 5 3 45:17 47
4 Twente W 22 14 4 4 55:19 46
5 Utrecht W 22 11 4 7 41:37 37
6 PEC Zwolle W 22 11 1 10 35:32 34
7 Heerenveen W 22 8 2 12 38:51 26
8 AZ Alkmaar W 22 6 6 10 36:46 24
9 Den Haag W 22 6 4 12 24:45 22
10 Hera United W 22 5 5 12 24:42 20
11 SBV Excelsior W 22 2 2 18 18:51 8
12 NAC Breda W 22 2 1 19 17:71 7
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (League phase)
Promotion - UEFA Europa Cup Women (Qualification)