Sport Picks

Netherlands

Eredivisie Women 2025/2026 Stadion Woudestein

Hera United W

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

SBV Excelsior W play Hera United W in the Eredivisie Women 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, SBV Excelsior W averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.93 conceded. Hera United W averaged 1.16 goals scored and 1.92 conceded. In past meetings, SBV Excelsior W won 0, Hera United W won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 22, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for SBV Excelsior W and 1.88 for Hera United W. This points to a Hera United W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%

SBV Excelsior W

15%

Draws

50%

Hera United W

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hera United W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

SBV Excelsior W picked up more points recently compared to Hera United W.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.31 vs 1.88 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 67%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 81%

Over 2.5 Goals 67%

Over 3.5 Goals 40%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58%

SBV Excelsior W Clean Sheet 10%

Hera United W Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 73%

Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	SBV Excelsior W	Hera United W
Matches Played	30	25
Wins	7	7
Draws	3	5
Losses	20	13
Goals Scored	1.2	1.16
Goals Conceded	1.93	1.92
Expected Goals (xG)	0.75	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.38	1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Eredivisie Women

SBV Excelsior W vs Hera United W

Possession: 58% - 43% Cards: 1 - 2

1:2

Dec 7, 2025 Eredivisie Women

Hera United W vs SBV Excelsior W

Possession: 59% - 48% Cards: 1 - 0

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SBV Excelsior W Compare

Top Goalscorer Verheijen J.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.58

Avg xA / game 0.38

Hera United W Compare

Top Goalscorer van Belen J.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Oudejans E.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SBV Excelsior W 34 / 100

Hera United W 47 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

SBV Excelsior W Hera United W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Hera United W or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +29.5%

3.70

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.9%

1.64

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

SBV Excelsior W attacking → ← attacking Hera United W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SBV Excelsior W scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Hera United W let in goals in 92% of their last 25 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

SBV Excelsior W went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Hera United W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

24 Points in last 5 26

0.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.38

2.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	PSV W	22	17	3	2	56:15	54
2	Ajax W	22	15	5	2	55:18	50
3	Feyenoord W	22	14	5	3	45:17	47
4	Twente W	22	14	4	4	55:19	46
5	Utrecht W	22	11	4	7	41:37	37
6	PEC Zwolle W	22	11	1	10	35:32	34
7	Heerenveen W	22	8	2	12	38:51	26
8	AZ Alkmaar W	22	6	6	10	36:46	24
9	Den Haag W	22	6	4	12	24:45	22
10	Hera United W	22	5	5	12	24:42	20
11	SBV Excelsior W	22	2	2	18	18:51	8
12	NAC Breda W	22	2	1	19	17:71	7