Sport Picks

Stadium Background

SBV Excelsior W vs Telstar W

Netherlands Netherlands

Eredivisie Women 2025/2026 Stadion Woudestein, Rotterdam
Sat, Feb 21, 2026
VS
03:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

SBV Excelsior W host Telstar W in the Eredivisie Women 2025/2026. This one's hard to separate. Telstar W have shipped 2.67 goals a game lately, while SBV Excelsior W have conceded 2 and scored 1.16. Past meetings favor Telstar W slightly — 0-1-4 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 21, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 0.97 vs 1.75, favoring Telstar W. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
SBV Excelsior W
15%
Draws
85%
Telstar W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Telstar W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to SBV Excelsior W lately — more wins on the board than Telstar W.
  • Win probability leans Telstar W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
SBV Excelsior W Clean Sheet 12%
Telstar W Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SBV Excelsior W Telstar W
Matches Played 31 9
Wins 7 2
Draws 3 1
Losses 21 6
Goals Scored 1.16 1.44
Goals Conceded 2 2.67
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Eredivisie Women
SBV Excelsior W vs Telstar W
0:0
Dec 7, 2025 Eredivisie Women
Telstar W vs SBV Excelsior W
0:0
Aug 23, 2025 Club Friendly Women
SBV Excelsior W vs Telstar W
0:1
Jan 25, 2025 Eredivisie Women
SBV Excelsior W vs Telstar W
1:1
Nov 9, 2024 Eredivisie Women
Telstar W vs SBV Excelsior W
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SBV Excelsior W 10 / 100
Telstar W 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SBV Excelsior W Telstar W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Telstar W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Telstar W let in goals in 78% of their last 9 matches.

Telstar W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: SBV Excelsior W scored in 58% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

SBV Excelsior W VS Telstar W
0.75 Goals Scored 0
2.5 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

SBV Excelsior W

(Home)
18 Jul
SBV Excelsior W
0 : 4
De Graafschap W
22 May
AZ Alkmaar W
1 : 0
SBV Excelsior W
08 May
SBV Excelsior W
0 : 3
Feyenoord W
03 May
SBV Excelsior W
0 : 2
Ajax W
26 Apr
PEC Zwolle W
4 : 1
SBV Excelsior W
Page 1 of 7

Telstar W

(Away)
23 Aug
SBV Excelsior W
0 : 1
Telstar W
17 May
Telstar W
2 : 0
Heerenveen W
03 May
Ajax W
3 : 1
Telstar W
19 Apr
Sittard W
5 : 0
Telstar W
30 Mar
Telstar W
0 : 1
Utrecht W
Page 1 of 2

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSV W 22 17 3 2 56:15 54
2 Ajax W 22 15 5 2 55:18 50
3 Feyenoord W 22 14 5 3 45:17 47
4 Twente W 22 14 4 4 55:19 46
5 Utrecht W 22 11 4 7 41:37 37
6 PEC Zwolle W 22 11 1 10 35:32 34
7 Heerenveen W 22 8 2 12 38:51 26
8 AZ Alkmaar W 22 6 6 10 36:46 24
9 Den Haag W 22 6 4 12 24:45 22
10 Hera United W 22 5 5 12 24:42 20
11 SBV Excelsior W 22 2 2 18 18:51 8
12 NAC Breda W 22 2 1 19 17:71 7
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (League phase)
Promotion - UEFA Europa Cup Women (Qualification)