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SC Angrense vs Lusitano GC

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2022/2023
SC Angrense Logo

SC Angrense

0 - 2
FT
Lusitano GC Logo

Lusitano GC

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2022/2023 game between SC Angrense and Lusitano GC finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lusitano GC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
SC Angrense
20%
Draws
80%
Lusitano GC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lusitano GC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Lusitano GC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Lusitano GC are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
SC Angrense Clean Sheet 10%
Lusitano GC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC Angrense Lusitano GC
Matches Played 30 44
Wins 4 21
Draws 5 10
Losses 21 13
Goals Scored 0.63 1.18
Goals Conceded 2.13 0.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 3.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
SC Angrense vs Lusitano GC
0:2
Dec 18, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Lusitano GC vs SC Angrense
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Angrense 10 / 100
Lusitano GC 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC Angrense Lusitano GC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lusitano GC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lusitano GC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 44 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

SC Angrense found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).

Lusitano GC's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

SC Angrense VS Lusitano GC
0 Goals Scored 1.13
5 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 38%
100% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

SC Angrense

(Home)
30 Aug
Sacavenense
5 : 0
SC Angrense
21 Sept
SB Castelo Branco
7 : 1
SC Angrense
19 Apr
Serpa
4 : 2
SC Angrense
08 Apr
SC Angrense
0 : 2
Lusitano GC
02 Apr
Juv. Evora
6 : 0
SC Angrense
Page 1 of 6

Lusitano GC

(Away)
12 Sept
Lusitano GC
2 : 2
Covilha
06 Sept
Louletano
1 : 0
Lusitano GC
30 Aug
Lusitano GC
1 : 2
CF Os Belenenses
22 Aug
Lusitano GC
2 : 1
Mafra
16 Aug
Caldas SC
0 : 0
Lusitano GC
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico CP 26 15 7 4 43:22 52
2 Lusitano GC 26 15 6 5 35:22 51
3 Juv. Evora 26 13 7 6 37:16 46
4 CD Rabo Peixe 26 13 6 7 33:19 45
5 Imortal 26 9 12 5 31:22 39
6 Fabril do Barreiro 26 11 6 9 31:26 39
7 Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 26 10 9 7 37:33 39
8 Serpa 26 10 6 10 44:36 36
9 Oriental Dragon 26 10 6 10 35:36 36
10 SC Praiense 26 9 7 10 31:32 34
11 Esperanca de Lagos 26 7 10 9 28:38 31
12 SC Angrense 26 4 5 17 17:46 17
13 Olhanense 26 5 2 19 18:50 17
14 Ferreiras 26 3 7 16 17:39 16
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2022/2023 (Promotion Group)