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SC Angrense vs Serpa

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2022/2023
SC Angrense Logo

SC Angrense

1 - 0
FT
Serpa Logo

Serpa

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

SC Angrense in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored SC Angrense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
SC Angrense
30%
Draws
70%
Serpa
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Serpa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • SC Angrense haven't matched Serpa's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Serpa a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
SC Angrense Clean Sheet 10%
Serpa Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC Angrense Serpa
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 4 10
Draws 5 10
Losses 21 12
Goals Scored 0.63 1.13
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 3.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Serpa vs SC Angrense
4:2
Jan 8, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
SC Angrense vs Serpa
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Angrense 10 / 100
Serpa 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC Angrense Serpa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Serpa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Serpa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 32 matches.

SC Angrense's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Away concern: Serpa has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

SC Angrense VS Serpa
0 Goals Scored 1.13
5 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 50%
100% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

SC Angrense

(Home)
30 Aug
Sacavenense
5 : 0
SC Angrense
21 Sept
SB Castelo Branco
7 : 1
SC Angrense
19 Apr
Serpa
4 : 2
SC Angrense
08 Apr
SC Angrense
0 : 2
Lusitano GC
02 Apr
Juv. Evora
6 : 0
SC Angrense
Page 1 of 6

Serpa

(Away)
26 Sept
Real SC
1 : 1
Serpa
20 Sept
Serpa
1 : 2
Louletano
13 Sept
Lagoa
0 : 0
Serpa
06 Sept
Serpa
1 : 1
1º Dezembro
29 Aug
Serpa
2 : 0
Grandolense
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico CP 26 15 7 4 43:22 52
2 Lusitano GC 26 15 6 5 35:22 51
3 Juv. Evora 26 13 7 6 37:16 46
4 CD Rabo Peixe 26 13 6 7 33:19 45
5 Imortal 26 9 12 5 31:22 39
6 Fabril do Barreiro 26 11 6 9 31:26 39
7 Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 26 10 9 7 37:33 39
8 Serpa 26 10 6 10 44:36 36
9 Oriental Dragon 26 10 6 10 35:36 36
10 SC Praiense 26 9 7 10 31:32 34
11 Esperanca de Lagos 26 7 10 9 28:38 31
12 SC Angrense 26 4 5 17 17:46 17
13 Olhanense 26 5 2 19 18:50 17
14 Ferreiras 26 3 7 16 17:39 16
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2022/2023 (Promotion Group)