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SC Atletico vs Mindelense

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Campeonato Nacional
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AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Nacional game between SC Atletico and Mindelense finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mindelense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
SC Atletico
30%
Draws
58%
Mindelense
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mindelense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • SC Atletico haven't matched Mindelense's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Mindelense's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Campeonato Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Mindelense here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
SC Atletico Clean Sheet 10%
Mindelense Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC Atletico Mindelense
Matches Played 25 40
Wins 10 20
Draws 6 12
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.28 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.36 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.83 1.90
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2026 Campeonato Nacional
SC Atletico vs Mindelense
1:3
Apr 12, 2014 Campeonato Nacional
Mindelense vs SC Atletico
1:0
May 27, 2012 Campeonato Nacional
SC Atletico vs Mindelense
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Atletico 10 / 100
Mindelense 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC Atletico Mindelense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mindelense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SC Atletico found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (25 games).

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Mindelense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 40 matches.

SC Atletico has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

SC Atletico VS Mindelense
0.67 Goals Scored 2.13
1.67 Goals Conceded 1
83% Over 1.5 88%
33% Over 2.5 50%
17% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

SC Atletico

(Home)
14 Jun
SC Atletico
1 : 3
Mindelense
06 Jun
Boavista da Praia
2 : 0
SC Atletico
31 May
SC Atletico
1 : 1
Santo Crucifixo
23 May
Onze Unidos
1 : 1
SC Atletico
10 May
SC Atletico
1 : 2
SC Africa Show
Page 1 of 5

Mindelense

(Away)
04 Jul
Palmeira
3 : 2
Mindelense
27 Jun
Mindelense
2 : 1
Academica Porto Novo
20 Jun
Academica Porto Novo
2 : 2
Mindelense
14 Jun
SC Atletico
1 : 3
Mindelense
06 Jun
Mindelense
2 : 1
Cutelinho
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palmeira 6 5 1 0 12:3 16
2 Mindelense 6 5 0 1 13:4 15
3 Academica Porto Novo 6 4 1 1 9:4 13
4 SC Africa Show 6 3 3 0 11:5 12
5 Boavista da Praia 6 4 0 2 9:4 12
6 Cutelinho 6 2 3 1 5:4 9
7 Academico do Sal 6 2 1 3 6:7 7
8 Onze Unidos 6 1 2 3 9:10 5
9 Santo Crucifixo 6 1 2 3 5:10 5
10 CD Benfica 6 1 0 5 3:18 3
11 SC Atletico 6 0 2 4 4:10 2
12 Scorpion Vermelho 6 0 1 5 4:11 1
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional (Play Offs)