Sport Picks

Stadium Background

SC Cenaia vs Montevarchi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group E 2023/2024
SC Cenaia Logo

SC Cenaia

0 - 0
FT
Montevarchi Logo

Montevarchi

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group E 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
SC Cenaia
30%
Draws
41%
Montevarchi
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Montevarchi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Montevarchi have won more games recently than SC Cenaia.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on SC Cenaia taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group E 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 10%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
SC Cenaia Clean Sheet 20%
Montevarchi Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC Cenaia Montevarchi
Matches Played 30 41
Wins 2 14
Draws 9 17
Losses 19 10
Goals Scored 0.83 0.85
Goals Conceded 2 0.85
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 21, 2024 Serie D - Group E
SC Cenaia vs Montevarchi
0:0
Sep 24, 2023 Serie D - Group E
Montevarchi vs SC Cenaia
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Cenaia 36 / 100
Montevarchi 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC Cenaia Montevarchi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SC Cenaia has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

SC Cenaia found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Montevarchi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 49% of 41 matches.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

- VS Montevarchi
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.38
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

SC Cenaia

(Home)
05 May
Mobilieri Ponsacco
0 : 3
SC Cenaia
28 Apr
SC Cenaia
1 : 3
Ghiviborgo
21 Apr
Poggibonsi
4 : 1
SC Cenaia
14 Apr
SC Cenaia
1 : 1
Sangiovannese
07 Apr
Sporting Trestina
1 : 1
SC Cenaia
Page 1 of 6

Montevarchi

(Away)
04 Oct
Ternana
4 : 1
Montevarchi
27 Sept
Montevarchi
2 : 0
SCD Progresso
20 Sept
Siena
3 : 0
Montevarchi
16 Sept
Seravezza Pozzi
1 : 1
Montevarchi
12 Sept
Montevarchi
4 : 1
Tau
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pianese 34 19 11 4 62:35 68
2 Follonica Gavorrano 34 18 11 5 44:25 65
3 Grosseto 34 16 15 3 53:33 63
4 Livorno 34 16 11 7 49:32 59
5 Tau 34 15 13 6 55:31 58
6 Seravezza Pozzi 34 17 6 11 49:40 57
7 Poggibonsi 34 15 7 12 48:42 52
8 Ghiviborgo 34 15 5 14 54:54 50
9 Figline 34 12 13 9 45:43 49
10 Sporting Trestina 34 11 10 13 43:45 43
11 Montevarchi 34 10 13 11 42:41 43
12 Sangiovannese 34 10 12 12 30:37 42
13 San Donato Tavarnelle 34 11 7 16 30:33 40
14 Orvietana 34 10 8 16 33:44 38
15 Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro 34 5 14 15 24:46 29
16 Real Forte Querceta 34 6 10 18 31:46 28
17 Mobilieri Ponsacco 34 2 14 18 33:60 20
18 SC Cenaia 34 3 10 21 29:67 19
Promotion - Serie D - Group E 2023/2024 (Play Offs)