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SC Cenaia vs Poggibonsi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group E 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Manfredi L.
54' Event
Macchia C.
66' Event
Macchia C.

AI Match Summary

SC Cenaia in this Serie D - Group E 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored SC Cenaia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
SC Cenaia
35%
Draws
32%
Poggibonsi
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Poggibonsi have won more games recently than SC Cenaia.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on SC Cenaia taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
SC Cenaia Clean Sheet 20%
Poggibonsi Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC Cenaia Poggibonsi
Matches Played 30 39
Wins 2 10
Draws 9 10
Losses 19 19
Goals Scored 0.83 0.87
Goals Conceded 2 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 21, 2024 Serie D - Group E
Poggibonsi vs SC Cenaia
4:1
Dec 10, 2023 Serie D - Group E
SC Cenaia vs Poggibonsi
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SC Cenaia Compare

Top Goalscorer Macchia C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Manfredi L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Poggibonsi Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Cenaia 36 / 100
Poggibonsi 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC Cenaia Poggibonsi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Poggibonsi has conceded goals in 72% of their last 39 outings.

SC Cenaia has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

SC Cenaia found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

- VS Poggibonsi
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

SC Cenaia

(Home)
05 May
Mobilieri Ponsacco
0 : 3
SC Cenaia
28 Apr
SC Cenaia
1 : 3
Ghiviborgo
21 Apr
Poggibonsi
4 : 1
SC Cenaia
14 Apr
SC Cenaia
1 : 1
Sangiovannese
07 Apr
Sporting Trestina
1 : 1
SC Cenaia
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Poggibonsi

(Away)
10 May
Orvietana
1 : 0
Poggibonsi
03 May
Poggibonsi
1 : 0
Scandicci
26 Apr
Cannara
3 : 2
Poggibonsi
19 Apr
Poggibonsi
0 : 0
Tau
12 Apr
Camaiore Calcio
1 : 1
Poggibonsi
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pianese 34 19 11 4 62:35 68
2 Follonica Gavorrano 34 18 11 5 44:25 65
3 Grosseto 34 16 15 3 53:33 63
4 Livorno 34 16 11 7 49:32 59
5 Tau 34 15 13 6 55:31 58
6 Seravezza Pozzi 34 17 6 11 49:40 57
7 Poggibonsi 34 15 7 12 48:42 52
8 Ghiviborgo 34 15 5 14 54:54 50
9 Figline 34 12 13 9 45:43 49
10 Sporting Trestina 34 11 10 13 43:45 43
11 Montevarchi 34 10 13 11 42:41 43
12 Sangiovannese 34 10 12 12 30:37 42
13 San Donato Tavarnelle 34 11 7 16 30:33 40
14 Orvietana 34 10 8 16 33:44 38
15 Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro 34 5 14 15 24:46 29
16 Real Forte Querceta 34 6 10 18 31:46 28
17 Mobilieri Ponsacco 34 2 14 18 33:60 20
18 SC Cenaia 34 3 10 21 29:67 19
Promotion - Serie D - Group E 2023/2024 (Play Offs)