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SC Cenaia vs Sangiovannese - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group E 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

62' Event
Becucci D.
78' Event
Benucci M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group E 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
SC Cenaia
35%
Draws
19%
Sangiovannese
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: SC Cenaia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Sangiovannese have won more games recently than SC Cenaia.
  • SC Cenaia are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group E 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
SC Cenaia Clean Sheet 20%
Sangiovannese Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC Cenaia Sangiovannese
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 2 9
Draws 9 11
Losses 19 14
Goals Scored 0.83 1.03
Goals Conceded 2 1.12
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 14, 2024 Serie D - Group E
SC Cenaia vs Sangiovannese
1:1
Dec 3, 2023 Serie D - Group E
Sangiovannese vs SC Cenaia
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SC Cenaia Compare

Top Goalscorer Becucci D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Sangiovannese Compare

Top Goalscorer Benucci M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.48

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Cenaia 40 / 100
Sangiovannese 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC Cenaia Sangiovannese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SC Cenaia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sangiovannese has conceded goals in 71% of their last 34 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Solid form: SC Cenaia remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Sangiovannese lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Sangiovannese
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

SC Cenaia

(Home)
05 May
Mobilieri Ponsacco
0 : 3
SC Cenaia
28 Apr
SC Cenaia
1 : 3
Ghiviborgo
21 Apr
Poggibonsi
4 : 1
SC Cenaia
14 Apr
SC Cenaia
1 : 1
Sangiovannese
07 Apr
Sporting Trestina
1 : 1
SC Cenaia
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Sangiovannese

(Away)
26 Aug
Sangiovannese
3 : 3
Scandicci
09 Aug
Sangiovannese
0 : 1
San Donato Tavarnelle
04 May
Sangiovannese
0 : 1
Terranuova Traiana
27 Apr
Flaminia
1 : 0
Sangiovannese
17 Apr
Sangiovannese
2 : 2
Livorno
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pianese 34 19 11 4 62:35 68
2 Follonica Gavorrano 34 18 11 5 44:25 65
3 Grosseto 34 16 15 3 53:33 63
4 Livorno 34 16 11 7 49:32 59
5 Tau 34 15 13 6 55:31 58
6 Seravezza Pozzi 34 17 6 11 49:40 57
7 Poggibonsi 34 15 7 12 48:42 52
8 Ghiviborgo 34 15 5 14 54:54 50
9 Figline 34 12 13 9 45:43 49
10 Sporting Trestina 34 11 10 13 43:45 43
11 Montevarchi 34 10 13 11 42:41 43
12 Sangiovannese 34 10 12 12 30:37 42
13 San Donato Tavarnelle 34 11 7 16 30:33 40
14 Orvietana 34 10 8 16 33:44 38
15 Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro 34 5 14 15 24:46 29
16 Real Forte Querceta 34 6 10 18 31:46 28
17 Mobilieri Ponsacco 34 2 14 18 33:60 20
18 SC Cenaia 34 3 10 21 29:67 19
Promotion - Serie D - Group E 2023/2024 (Play Offs)