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SC Cenaia vs Tau - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group E 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Capparella R.
44' Event
Bruno M.
71' Event
Noccioli F.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group E 2023/2024 game between SC Cenaia and Tau finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tau.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
SC Cenaia
20%
Draws
51%
Tau
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • SC Cenaia haven't matched Tau's recent run of results.
  • 29% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Serie D - Group E 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
SC Cenaia Clean Sheet 68%
Tau Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC Cenaia Tau
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 2 18
Draws 9 9
Losses 19 9
Goals Scored 0.83 1.58
Goals Conceded 2 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 25, 2024 Serie D - Group E
SC Cenaia vs Tau
0:3
Oct 22, 2023 Serie D - Group E
Tau vs SC Cenaia
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SC Cenaia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Tau Compare

Top Goalscorer Capparella R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bruno M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.55

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Cenaia 41 / 100
Tau 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC Cenaia Tau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SC Cenaia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tau's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 36 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: SC Cenaia stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: SC Cenaia scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Tau
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

SC Cenaia

(Home)
05 May
Mobilieri Ponsacco
0 : 3
SC Cenaia
28 Apr
SC Cenaia
1 : 3
Ghiviborgo
21 Apr
Poggibonsi
4 : 1
SC Cenaia
14 Apr
SC Cenaia
1 : 1
Sangiovannese
07 Apr
Sporting Trestina
1 : 1
SC Cenaia
Page 1 of 6

Tau

(Away)
04 Oct
Ghiviborgo
0 : 1
Tau
27 Sept
Tau
3 : 2
Rondinella
20 Sept
Ternana
3 : 0
Tau
16 Sept
Tau
3 : 2
Siena
12 Sept
Montevarchi
4 : 1
Tau
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pianese 34 19 11 4 62:35 68
2 Follonica Gavorrano 34 18 11 5 44:25 65
3 Grosseto 34 16 15 3 53:33 63
4 Livorno 34 16 11 7 49:32 59
5 Tau 34 15 13 6 55:31 58
6 Seravezza Pozzi 34 17 6 11 49:40 57
7 Poggibonsi 34 15 7 12 48:42 52
8 Ghiviborgo 34 15 5 14 54:54 50
9 Figline 34 12 13 9 45:43 49
10 Sporting Trestina 34 11 10 13 43:45 43
11 Montevarchi 34 10 13 11 42:41 43
12 Sangiovannese 34 10 12 12 30:37 42
13 San Donato Tavarnelle 34 11 7 16 30:33 40
14 Orvietana 34 10 8 16 33:44 38
15 Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro 34 5 14 15 24:46 29
16 Real Forte Querceta 34 6 10 18 31:46 28
17 Mobilieri Ponsacco 34 2 14 18 33:60 20
18 SC Cenaia 34 3 10 21 29:67 19
Promotion - Serie D - Group E 2023/2024 (Play Offs)