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SC Chaudron vs Sainte-Marienne

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Regionale 1 2023
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AI Match Summary

The Regionale 1 2023 game between SC Chaudron and Sainte-Marienne finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
SC Chaudron
35%
Draws
0%
Sainte-Marienne
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: SC Chaudron

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sainte-Marienne come out ahead of SC Chaudron on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans SC Chaudron's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Regionale 1 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
SC Chaudron Clean Sheet 20%
Sainte-Marienne Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC Chaudron Sainte-Marienne
Matches Played 26 30
Wins 4 6
Draws 6 5
Losses 16 19
Goals Scored 0.81 0.73
Goals Conceded 2.38 2.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 30, 2023 Regionale 1
SC Chaudron vs Sainte-Marienne
0:0
May 7, 2023 Regionale 1
Sainte-Marienne vs SC Chaudron
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Chaudron 85 / 100
Sainte-Marienne 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC Chaudron Sainte-Marienne

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SC Chaudron Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Difficult form: Sainte-Marienne registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Sainte-Marienne conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

SC Chaudron went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SC Chaudron VS Sainte-Marienne
0.25 Goals Scored 0.75
3 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

SC Chaudron

(Home)
26 Nov
Saint Louis
0 : 0
SC Chaudron
22 Nov
SC Chaudron
2 : 2
Saint-Denis
12 Nov
SC Chaudron
1 : 1
Saint-Pauloise FC
05 Nov
Excelsior
3 : 0
SC Chaudron
22 Oct
SC Chaudron
1 : 1
Piton Saint-Leu
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Sainte-Marienne

(Away)
26 Nov
Tamponnaise
6 : 1
Sainte-Marienne
19 Nov
Sainte-Marienne
1 : 3
Saint-Pierroise
12 Nov
Sainte-Suzanne
4 : 0
Sainte-Marienne
05 Nov
Sainte-Marienne
0 : 3
Saint Louis
22 Oct
Saint-Pauloise FC
6 : 1
Sainte-Marienne
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