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SC Espinho vs Grijo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato Nacional - Group D 2013/2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Nacional - Group D 2013/2014 game between SC Espinho and Grijo finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SC Espinho.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
SC Espinho
15%
Draws
21%
Grijo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SC Espinho

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • SC Espinho carry the better recent record into this one.
  • SC Espinho are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Campeonato Nacional - Group D 2013/2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
SC Espinho Clean Sheet 20%
Grijo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC Espinho Grijo
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 17 7
Draws 9 11
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.33 1.4
Goals Conceded 0.81 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2014 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
SC Espinho vs Grijo
3:0
Mar 2, 2014 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Grijo vs SC Espinho
3:3
Dec 29, 2013 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
SC Espinho vs Grijo
2:1
Oct 13, 2013 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Grijo vs SC Espinho
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Espinho 85 / 100
Grijo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC Espinho Grijo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SC Espinho Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Grijo conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

SC Espinho scored in 64% of their last 36 games.

SC Espinho went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SC Espinho VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

SC Espinho

(Home)
30 Aug
Cinfaes
1 : 0
SC Espinho
18 Oct
SC Espinho
0 : 1
Santa Clara
21 Sept
SC Espinho
5 : 1
Almodovar
31 Aug
Florgrade
0 : 1
SC Espinho
08 May
Santa Cruz Alvarenga
1 : 2
SC Espinho
Page 1 of 8

Grijo

(Away)
21 Aug
Rebordosa
3 : 1
Grijo
24 May
SC Lusitania
2 : 1
Grijo
11 May
Grijo
1 : 2
Lusitano FCV
04 May
Bustelo
0 : 2
Grijo
27 Apr
Grijo
0 : 1
Estarreja
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cinfaes 14 8 2 4 19:11 38
2 Anadia 14 6 4 4 17:14 35
3 Lusitano FCV 14 7 3 4 16:11 34
4 SC Lusitania 14 5 4 5 11:10 31
5 SC Espinho 14 5 4 5 18:17 28
6 Estarreja 14 6 2 6 12:19 28
7 Grijo 14 4 3 7 19:23 26
8 Bustelo 14 2 4 8 10:17 23
Relegation - Campeonato Nacional - Group A 2013/2014 (Play Out)