Sport Picks

Stadium Background

SC Espinho vs Merelinense

Portugal Portugal

Taça de Portugal 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

72' Event
Betinho

AI Match Summary

SC Espinho in this Taça de Portugal 2021/2022 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
SC Espinho
15%
Draws
50%
Merelinense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Merelinense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • SC Espinho have won more games recently than Merelinense.
  • Model gives SC Espinho a 36% chance of winning this.
  • SC Espinho have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor SC Espinho, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
SC Espinho Clean Sheet 20%
Merelinense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC Espinho Merelinense
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 14 10
Draws 7 9
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.23 1.35
Goals Conceded 0.7 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 25, 2021 Taça de Portugal
SC Espinho vs Merelinense
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SC Espinho Compare

Top Goalscorer Betinho
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Merelinense Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Espinho 36 / 100
Merelinense 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC Espinho Merelinense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SC Espinho scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Merelinense let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

SC Espinho has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

SC Espinho VS Merelinense
1.5 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
25% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

SC Espinho

(Home)
30 Aug
Cinfaes
1 : 0
SC Espinho
18 Oct
SC Espinho
0 : 1
Santa Clara
21 Sept
SC Espinho
5 : 1
Almodovar
31 Aug
Florgrade
0 : 1
SC Espinho
08 May
Santa Cruz Alvarenga
1 : 2
SC Espinho
Page 1 of 6

Merelinense

(Away)
30 Aug
Merelinense
2 : 0
Atletico Arcos
16 Apr
Merelinense
1 : 0
Tirsense
08 Apr
Vilar de Perdizes
1 : 1
Merelinense
02 Apr
Merelinense
2 : 1
Desportivo Moncao
19 Mar
Merelinense
2 : 1
Pedras Salgadas
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
SC Pombal -
TBD -
Leca 1
Lusitania FC 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Arouca -
Condeixa -
TBD -
TBD -
Esperanca de Lagos -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gil Vicente -
Estrela Vendas Novas -
TBD -
Pedroso 0
Paredes 2
Ferreira de Aves -
TBD -
TBD -
Academico Viseu -
GD Fontinhas -
TBD -
TBD -
Torreense -
O Elvas CAD 0
Sacavenense 2
SC Mirandela 0
AD Fafe 1
SC Praiense 0
Sporting Ideal 1
TBD -
Valadares Gaia FC -
Canelas 2010 12
Regua 0
TBD -
Casa Pia -
Rebordelo -
TBD -
Moimenta da Beira 2
Cinfaes 3
Sao Roque -
TBD -
TBD -
SC Farense -
CF Os Belenenses -
TBD -
TBD -
Pero Pinheiro -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sporting CP -
Oleiros -
TBD -
TBD -
Varzim -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Maritimo -
SC Vianense 2
Ancora Praia 1
TBD -
Vitoria Setubal -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vizela -
Culatrense 1
Louletano 2
Gondomar 2
SC Salgueiros 3
Ferreiras 1
Penedo Gordo 0
TBD -
Estrela da Amadora -
Moitense -
TBD -
Anca 1
Sanjoanense 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Braga -
Moncarapachense 1
Industria 2
TBD -
Leiria -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Santa Clara -
Gloria Ribatejo 0
Sintrense 4
Macedo de Cavaleiros 1
Forjaes 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Porto -
Vila Mea 4
Amarante FC 3
TBD -
Feirense -
Vinhais -
TBD -
TBD -
Nacional -
Pevidem -
TBD -
TBD -
Trofense -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Benfica -
Estarreja 1
Aguias do Moradal 2
Damaiense 3
SC Lusitania 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Pacos Ferreira -
Vila Velha 0
Vitoria Sernache 3
TBD -
Rio Ave -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Boavista -
CD Rabo Peixe -
TBD -
Castro Daire 1
Trancoso 0
Olhanense 1
Juv. Evora 0
Santa Cruz Alvarenga 3
CD Gouveia 1
Uniao Lamas 1
SC Espinho 2
Valenciano 2
Merelinense 4
Abrantes Benfica 2
Caldas SC 4
Pinhalnovense 0
Amora 2
AD Limianos 3
CDC Montalegre 2
Berco 2
GD Joane 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
BSAD -
Santa Marta Penaguiao 0
Camacha 3
TBD -
Ribeirao -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tondela -
Sao Joao de Ver -
TBD -
TBD -
Leixoes -
Uniao Montemor -
TBD -
TBD -
Vilaverdense FC -
Serpa -
TBD -
TBD -
Olivais e Moscavide -
Marinhense 1
UC Idanhense 2
TBD -
Covilha -
FC Felgueiras 3
Camara de Lobos 0
TBD -
Chaves -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Estoril -
Alverca 6
Electrico FC 0
SC Vila Real 2
Tirsense 1
Anadia -
TBD -
TBD -
GD Coruchense -
FC Alpendorada -
TBD -
TBD -
Academica -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Famalicao -
Machico 0
Sao Martinho 5
SB Castelo Branco 1
Mata Mourisquense 0
Cerva 1
Maria de Fonte 3
TBD -
Penafiel -
Oliveirense 6
Guarda Desportiva 0
Arronches Benfica 4
Vasco da Gama P. Delgada 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Portimonense -
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 1
Imortal 2
TBD -
Vilafranquense -
Real SC 1
FC Barreirense 0
TBD -
Cova De Piedade -
Sertanense 2
GD Peniche 0
TBD -
Mafra -
Vigor Mocidade 0
Uniao de Coimbra 1
TBD -
Graciosa FC -
Santarem 0
GS Loures 1
Lusitano GC 1
Oriental Dragon 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Moreirense -
Oliveira Hospital -
TBD -
TBD -
U. Madeira -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vitoria Guimaraes -
1/64-finals
SC Pombal 0
Leca 4
TBD -
Arouca -
Condeixa 4
Esperanca de Lagos 3
TBD -
Gil Vicente -
Estrela Vendas Novas 0
Paredes 2
Ferreira de Aves 0
Academico Viseu 1
GD Fontinhas 0
Torreense 1
Sacavenense 0
AD Fafe 4
Sporting Ideal 0
Valadares Gaia FC 3
Canelas 2010 2
Casa Pia 4
Rebordelo 1
Cinfaes 2
Sao Roque 0
SC Farense 3
CF Os Belenenses 5
Pero Pinheiro 3
TBD -
Sporting CP -
Oleiros 0
Varzim 2
TBD -
Maritimo -
SC Vianense 0
Vitoria Setubal 2
TBD -
Vizela -
Louletano 3
SC Salgueiros 1
Ferreiras 0
Estrela da Amadora 3
Moitense 2
Anca 1
TBD -
Braga -
Industria 1
Leiria 2
TBD -
Santa Clara -
Sintrense 2
Macedo de Cavaleiros 1
TBD -
FC Porto -
Vila Mea 1
Feirense 5
Vinhais 0
Nacional 3
Pevidem 1
Trofense 3
TBD -
Benfica -
Aguias do Moradal 2
Damaiense 1
TBD -
Pacos Ferreira -
Vitoria Sernache 1
Rio Ave 3
TBD -
Boavista -
CD Rabo Peixe 2
Castro Daire 3
Olhanense 1
Santa Cruz Alvarenga 0
SC Espinho 1
Merelinense 0
Caldas SC 1
Amora 0
AD Limianos 0
Berco 1
TBD -
BSAD -
Camacha 6
Ribeirao 1
TBD -
Tondela -
Sao Joao de Ver 1
Leixoes 3
Uniao Montemor 0
Vilaverdense FC 2
Serpa 4
Olivais e Moscavide 0
UC Idanhense 0
Covilha 2
FC Felgueiras 2
Chaves 0
TBD -
Estoril -
Alverca 3
SC Vila Real 1
Anadia 3
GD Coruchense 1
FC Alpendorada 1
Academica 2
TBD -
Famalicao -
Sao Martinho 0
SB Castelo Branco 1
Maria de Fonte 0
Penafiel 1
Oliveirense 3
Arronches Benfica 0
TBD -
Portimonense -
Imortal 0
Vilafranquense 2
Real SC 2
Cova De Piedade 1
Sertanense 0
Mafra 1
Uniao de Coimbra 2
Graciosa FC 1
GS Loures 2
Oriental Dragon 3
TBD -
Moreirense -
Oliveira Hospital 5
U. Madeira 0
TBD -
Vitoria Guimaraes -
1/32-finals
Leca 2
Arouca 1
Condeixa 0
Gil Vicente 5
Paredes 3
Academico Viseu 1
Torreense 2
AD Fafe 1
Valadares Gaia FC 1
Casa Pia 3
Cinfaes 0
SC Farense 4
CF Os Belenenses 0
Sporting CP 4
Varzim 3
Maritimo 2
Vitoria Setubal 0
Vizela 2
Louletano 1
Estrela da Amadora 2
Moitense 0
Braga 5
Leiria 0
Santa Clara 2
Sintrense 0
FC Porto 5
Feirense 3
Nacional 1
Trofense 1
Benfica 2
Aguias do Moradal 0
Pacos Ferreira 3
Rio Ave 4
Boavista 0
Castro Daire 2
Olhanense 3
SC Espinho 0
Caldas SC 1
Berco 1
BSAD 2
Camacha 1
Tondela 2
Leixoes 5
Vilaverdense FC 1
Serpa 1
Covilha 0
FC Felgueiras 0
Estoril 1
Alverca 4
Anadia 1
Academica 0
Famalicao 4
SB Castelo Branco 1
Penafiel 2
Oliveirense 3
Portimonense 4
Vilafranquense 3
Real SC 2
Mafra 3
Uniao de Coimbra 0
Oriental Dragon 2
Moreirense 3
Oliveira Hospital 0
Vitoria Guimaraes 1
1/16-finals
Leca 1
Gil Vicente 0
Paredes 1
Torreense 0
Casa Pia 3
SC Farense 1
Sporting CP 2
Varzim 1
Vizela 2
Estrela da Amadora 0
Braga 6
Santa Clara 0
FC Porto 5
Feirense 1
Benfica 4
Pacos Ferreira 1
Rio Ave 2
Olhanense 1
Caldas SC 3
BSAD 5
Tondela 3
Leixoes 1
Serpa 0
Estoril 5
Alverca 1
Famalicao 2
Penafiel 0
Portimonense 3
Vilafranquense 0
Mafra 1
Moreirense 3
Vitoria Guimaraes 2
1/8-finals
Leca 2
Paredes 1
Casa Pia 1
Sporting CP 2
Vizela 1
Braga 0
FC Porto 3
Benfica 0
Rio Ave 2
BSAD 1
Tondela 3
Estoril 1
Famalicao 1
Portimonense 2
Mafra 3
Moreirense 1
Quarter-finals
Leca 0
Sporting CP 4
Vizela 1
FC Porto 3
Rio Ave 0
Tondela 1
Portimonense 2
Mafra 4
Semi-finals
Sporting CP 1
FC Porto 3
Tondela 4
Mafra 1
Final
FC Porto 3
Tondela 1