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SC Espinho vs Vila Cortez

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2020/2021
SC Espinho Logo

SC Espinho

4 - 0
FT
Vila Cortez Logo

Vila Cortez

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2020/2021 game between SC Espinho and Vila Cortez finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SC Espinho.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
SC Espinho
15%
Draws
0%
Vila Cortez
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SC Espinho

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and SC Espinho come out ahead of Vila Cortez on wins alone.
  • SC Espinho are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
SC Espinho Clean Sheet 20%
Vila Cortez Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC Espinho Vila Cortez
Matches Played 32 28
Wins 16 2
Draws 7 1
Losses 9 25
Goals Scored 1.53 0.64
Goals Conceded 0.66 3.71
Expected Goals (xG) 2.69 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
SC Espinho vs Vila Cortez
4:0
Nov 8, 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Vila Cortez vs SC Espinho
0:8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Espinho 85 / 100
Vila Cortez 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC Espinho Vila Cortez

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SC Espinho Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Vila Cortez conceded in 100% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Vila Cortez lost 5 of their last 5 games.

SC Espinho found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (32 games).

Scoring Trends

SC Espinho VS Vila Cortez
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 3.5
63% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

SC Espinho

(Home)
30 Aug
Cinfaes
1 : 0
SC Espinho
18 Oct
SC Espinho
0 : 1
Santa Clara
21 Sept
SC Espinho
5 : 1
Almodovar
31 Aug
Florgrade
0 : 1
SC Espinho
08 May
Santa Cruz Alvarenga
1 : 2
SC Espinho
Page 1 of 7

Vila Cortez

(Away)
08 Sept
Vila Cortez
2 : 4
Anadia
11 Sept
Os Marialvas
3 : 1
Vila Cortez
10 Apr
Vila Cortez
0 : 3
Canelas 2010
03 Apr
Valadares Gaia FC
8 : 0
Vila Cortez
14 Mar
Anadia
7 : 0
Vila Cortez
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Anadia 22 13 5 4 39:15 44
2 Canelas 2010 22 12 5 5 28:13 41
3 Lusitania FC 22 11 6 5 38:26 39
4 Sao Joao de Ver 22 10 8 4 30:14 38
5 Sanjoanense 22 8 12 2 26:13 36
6 Castro Daire 22 10 5 7 23:24 35
7 Valadares Gaia FC 22 10 3 9 36:27 33
8 SC Espinho 22 9 4 9 33:22 31
9 Beira Mar 22 9 4 9 30:23 31
10 Agueda 22 4 5 13 17:28 17
11 Lusitano FCV 22 4 4 14 17:34 16
12 Vila Cortez 22 1 1 20 8:86 4
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2020/2021 (Qualification)