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SC Faetano vs Tre Fiori - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

San Marino San Marino

Campionato Sammarinese
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Bernardi T. L.
Assist: Prandelli M.
48' Event
Bernardi T. L.
Assist: Sirri A.
71' Event
Ben Kacem M.
Assist: Bernardi T. L.

AI Match Summary

The Campionato Sammarinese game between SC Faetano and Tre Fiori finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tre Fiori.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

11%
SC Faetano
20%
Draws
69%
Tre Fiori
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tre Fiori

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tre Fiori come out ahead of SC Faetano on wins alone.
  • Tre Fiori are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Campionato Sammarinese form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Tre Fiori here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 53%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
SC Faetano Clean Sheet 16%
Tre Fiori Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC Faetano Tre Fiori
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 4 19
Draws 5 5
Losses 20 8
Goals Scored 0.66 1.94
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.46 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
SC Faetano vs Tre Fiori
0:4
Apr 19, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
SC Faetano vs Tre Fiori
0:1
Dec 20, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
Tre Fiori vs SC Faetano
3:0
Mar 29, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
SC Faetano vs Tre Fiori
1:3
Dec 1, 2024 Campionato Sammarinese
Tre Fiori vs SC Faetano
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SC Faetano Compare

Avg xG / game 1.12
Avg xA / game 0.73

Tre Fiori Compare

Top Goalscorer Bernardi T. L.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Ben Kacem M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Faetano 10 / 100
Tre Fiori 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC Faetano Tre Fiori

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tre Fiori Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

SC Faetano's goal record stands at 48% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Tre Fiori has conceded goals in 47% of their last 32 outings.

SC Faetano went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SC Faetano VS Tre Fiori
0.29 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 2.63
71% Over 1.5 88%
43% Over 2.5 75%
43% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

SC Faetano

(Home)
18 Sept
AC Libertas
1 : 1
SC Faetano
13 Sept
San Marino Academy U22
0 : 0
SC Faetano
08 Sept
SP Domagnano
3 : 1
SC Faetano
04 Sept
SC Faetano
0 : 4
Tre Fiori
28 Aug
Juvenes/Dogana
4 : 0
SC Faetano
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Tre Fiori

(Away)
18 Sept
Tre Fiori
2 : 3
Virtus
11 Sept
Tre Fiori
3 : 0
SP Domagnano
08 Sept
Fiorentino
0 : 1
Tre Fiori
04 Sept
SC Faetano
0 : 4
Tre Fiori
30 Aug
Tre Fiori
5 : 2
SS Pennarossa
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Folgore 4 4 0 0 10:1 12
2 Tre Penne 4 4 0 0 9:2 12
3 Virtus 4 3 1 0 6:2 10
4 Tre Fiori 4 3 0 1 14:5 9
5 SP Cosmos 4 2 1 1 9:4 7
6 SP Domagnano 4 2 0 2 7:6 6
7 La Fiorita 4 1 3 0 4:3 6
8 AC Libertas 4 1 2 1 4:5 5
9 Fiorentino 4 1 1 2 4:5 4
10 Juvenes/Dogana 4 1 0 3 6:6 3
11 Cailungo 4 1 0 3 4:5 3
12 SS Murata 4 1 0 3 4:10 3
13 San Giovanni 4 1 0 3 4:10 3
14 SS Pennarossa 4 1 0 3 7:16 3
15 San Marino Academy U22 4 0 2 2 1:5 2
16 SC Faetano 4 0 2 2 1:9 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs)