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SC Faetano vs Tre Fiori - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

San Marino San Marino

Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

52' Event
Prandelli M.
Assist: Bernardi T. L.

AI Match Summary

Tre Fiori in this Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tre Fiori.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

11%
SC Faetano
20%
Draws
69%
Tre Fiori
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tre Fiori

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Tre Fiori have won more games recently than SC Faetano.
  • Win probability leans Tre Fiori's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Tre Fiori have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 53%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
SC Faetano Clean Sheet 16%
Tre Fiori Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC Faetano Tre Fiori
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 4 17
Draws 5 5
Losses 20 8
Goals Scored 0.66 1.8
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.46 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
SC Faetano vs Tre Fiori
0:4
Apr 19, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
SC Faetano vs Tre Fiori
0:1
Dec 20, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
Tre Fiori vs SC Faetano
3:0
Mar 29, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
SC Faetano vs Tre Fiori
1:3
Dec 1, 2024 Campionato Sammarinese
Tre Fiori vs SC Faetano
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SC Faetano Compare

Avg xG / game 1.12
Avg xA / game 0.73

Tre Fiori Compare

Top Goalscorer Prandelli M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Faetano 10 / 100
Tre Fiori 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC Faetano Tre Fiori

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tre Fiori Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: SC Faetano scored in 48% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Tre Fiori conceded in 47% of 30 recent games.

SC Faetano went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SC Faetano VS Tre Fiori
0.29 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 2.63
71% Over 1.5 88%
43% Over 2.5 75%
43% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

SC Faetano

(Home)
18 Sept
AC Libertas
1 : 1
SC Faetano
13 Sept
San Marino Academy U22
0 : 0
SC Faetano
08 Sept
SP Domagnano
3 : 1
SC Faetano
04 Sept
SC Faetano
0 : 4
Tre Fiori
28 Aug
Juvenes/Dogana
4 : 0
SC Faetano
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Tre Fiori

(Away)
18 Sept
Tre Fiori
2 : 3
Virtus
11 Sept
Tre Fiori
3 : 0
SP Domagnano
08 Sept
Fiorentino
0 : 1
Tre Fiori
04 Sept
SC Faetano
0 : 4
Tre Fiori
30 Aug
Tre Fiori
5 : 2
SS Pennarossa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tre Fiori 30 22 7 1 63:13 73
2 Virtus 30 22 6 2 76:20 72
3 Tre Penne 30 21 7 2 71:18 70
4 La Fiorita 30 17 11 2 64:25 57
5 Folgore 30 16 9 5 67:33 57
6 SP Domagnano 30 14 7 9 59:36 49
7 Fiorentino 30 14 4 12 37:42 46
8 SP Cosmos 30 11 9 10 30:23 42
9 Juvenes/Dogana 30 9 10 11 36:38 37
10 AC Libertas 30 9 8 13 32:63 35
11 SS Pennarossa 30 8 8 14 29:53 32
12 San Giovanni 30 7 10 13 24:43 31
13 SC Faetano 30 6 4 20 22:55 22
14 San Marino Academy U22 30 3 7 20 23:60 16
15 Cailungo 30 2 5 23 23:71 11
16 SS Murata 30 1 4 25 20:83 -2
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 (Play Offs)