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SC Farense vs Boavista

Portugal Portugal

Liga Portugal 2024/2025 Estádio de São Luís, Faro
Our Tip

Match Events

50'
van Ginkel M.
60'
Sub
Menino M. In: Soares F.
Out: Menino M.
60'
Sub
Santos Poloni D. T. In: Matias M.
Out: Santos Poloni D. T.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Portugal 2024/2025 game between SC Farense and Boavista finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Boavista.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
SC Farense
20%
Draws
34%
Boavista
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: SC Farense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Boavista haven't matched SC Farense's recent run of results.
  • SC Farense are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Liga Portugal 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
SC Farense Clean Sheet 68%
Boavista Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC Farense Boavista
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 5
Draws 10 4
Losses 11 21
Goals Scored 0.93 0.7
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2025 Liga Portugal
SC Farense vs Boavista
0:1
Dec 8, 2024 Liga Portugal
Boavista vs SC Farense
1:1
Apr 5, 2024 Liga Portugal
SC Farense vs Boavista
2:0
Nov 12, 2023 Liga Portugal
Boavista vs SC Farense
1:3
Mar 21, 2021 Liga Portugal
Boavista vs SC Farense
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SC Farense Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Boavista Compare

Top Goalscorer Silva J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Farense 95 / 100
Boavista 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC Farense Boavista

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SC Farense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Boavista conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

SC Farense scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: SC Farense stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SC Farense VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

SC Farense

(Home)
20 Sept
Sacavenense
0 : 1
SC Farense
13 Sept
AFS
0 : 0
SC Farense
30 Aug
Sporting CP B
2 : 1
SC Farense
24 Aug
SC Farense
1 : 1
FC Felgueiras
16 Aug
FC Porto B
1 : 3
SC Farense
Page 1 of 6

Boavista

(Away)
17 May
Arouca
4 : 1
Boavista
11 May
Boavista
1 : 2
FC Porto
05 May
AFS
1 : 2
Boavista
27 Apr
Boavista
0 : 5
Sporting CP
18 Apr
SC Farense
0 : 1
Boavista
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sporting CP 34 25 7 2 88:27 82
2 Benfica 34 25 5 4 84:28 80
3 FC Porto 34 22 5 7 65:30 71
4 Braga 34 19 9 6 55:30 66
5 Santa Clara 34 17 6 11 36:32 57
6 Vitoria Guimaraes 34 14 12 8 47:37 54
7 Famalicao 34 12 11 11 44:39 47
8 Estoril 34 12 10 12 48:53 46
9 Casa Pia 34 12 9 13 39:44 45
10 Moreirense 34 10 10 14 42:50 40
11 Rio Ave 34 9 11 14 39:55 38
12 Arouca 34 9 11 14 35:49 38
13 Gil Vicente 34 8 10 16 34:47 34
14 Nacional 34 9 7 18 32:50 34
15 Estrela da Amadora 34 7 8 19 24:50 29
16 AFS 34 5 12 17 25:60 27
17 SC Farense 34 6 9 19 25:46 27
18 Boavista 34 6 6 22 24:59 24
Promotion - Champions League 2025/2026 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2025/2026 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 (Main)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 (Main)