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SC Farense vs Boavista

Portugal Portugal

Liga Portugal 2024/2025 Estádio de São Luís, Faro
Our Tip

Match Events

50'
van Ginkel M.
60'
Sub
Menino M. In: Soares F.
Out: Menino M.
60'
Sub
Santos Poloni D. T. In: Matias M.
Out: Santos Poloni D. T.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Portugal 2024/2025 game between SC Farense and Boavista finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Boavista.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
SC Farense
6%
Draws
4%
Boavista
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: SC Farense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Boavista haven't matched SC Farense's recent run of results.
  • SC Farense are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Liga Portugal 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
SC Farense Clean Sheet 68%
Boavista Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC Farense Boavista
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 8 5
Draws 9 4
Losses 14 21
Goals Scored 1 0
Goals Conceded 1.38 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2025 Liga Portugal
SC Farense vs Boavista
0:1
Dec 8, 2024 Liga Portugal
Boavista vs SC Farense
1:1
Apr 5, 2024 Liga Portugal
SC Farense vs Boavista
2:0
Nov 12, 2023 Liga Portugal
Boavista vs SC Farense
1:3
Mar 21, 2021 Liga Portugal
Boavista vs SC Farense
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SC Farense Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Boavista Compare

Top Goalscorer Silva J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Farense 95 / 100
Boavista 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC Farense Boavista

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Boavista conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: SC Farense stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Boavista's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

SC Farense VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

SC Farense

(Home)
18 Jul
SC Farense
1 : 1
Sporting CP B
30 May
CF Os Belenenses
0 : 0
SC Farense
23 May
SC Farense
1 : 0
CF Os Belenenses
17 May
Portimonense
1 : 0
SC Farense
09 May
SC Farense
1 : 1
Pacos Ferreira
Page 1 of 7

Boavista

(Away)
17 May
Arouca
4 : 1
Boavista
11 May
Boavista
1 : 2
FC Porto
05 May
AFS
1 : 2
Boavista
27 Apr
Boavista
0 : 5
Sporting CP
18 Apr
SC Farense
0 : 1
Boavista
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sporting CP34257288:2782
2Benfica34255484:2880
3FC Porto34225765:3071
4Braga34199655:3066
5Santa Clara341761136:3257
6Vitoria Guimaraes341412847:3754
7Famalicao3412111144:3947
8Estoril3412101248:5346
9Casa Pia341291339:4445
10Moreirense3410101442:5040
11Rio Ave349111439:5538
12Arouca349111435:4938
13Gil Vicente348101634:4734
14Nacional34971832:5034
15Estrela da Amadora34781924:5029
16AFS345121725:6027
17SC Farense34691925:4627
18Boavista34662224:5924
Promotion - Champions League 2025/2026 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2025/2026 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 (Main)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 (Main)