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SC Farense vs Chaves - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Liga Portugal 2 Estádio de São Luís, Faro
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Match Events

3'
Zolotic N.
6' Event
Candeias A.
Assist: Mattheus
45' Event
Silva G.
Assist: Candeias A.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Portugal 2 game between SC Farense and Chaves finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SC Farense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
SC Farense
20%
Draws
34%
Chaves
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: SC Farense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • SC Farense haven't matched Chaves's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans SC Farense's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Liga Portugal 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
SC Farense Clean Sheet 68%
Chaves Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC Farense Chaves
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 12
Draws 9 1
Losses 10 17
Goals Scored 1.07 1.23
Goals Conceded 1 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Liga Portugal 2
SC Farense vs Chaves
4:0
Feb 22, 2026 Liga Portugal 2
Chaves vs SC Farense
2:0
Sep 28, 2025 Liga Portugal 2
SC Farense vs Chaves
0:2
Feb 4, 2024 Liga Portugal
Chaves vs SC Farense
1:1
Aug 26, 2023 Liga Portugal
SC Farense vs Chaves
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SC Farense Compare

Top Goalscorer Candeias A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Silva G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Chaves Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Farense 95 / 100
Chaves 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC Farense Chaves

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SC Farense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: SC Farense scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Chaves conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: SC Farense stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SC Farense VS Chaves
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

SC Farense

(Home)
04 Oct
SC Farense
4 : 0
Chaves
20 Sept
Sacavenense
0 : 1
SC Farense
13 Sept
AFS
0 : 0
SC Farense
30 Aug
Sporting CP B
2 : 1
SC Farense
24 Aug
SC Farense
1 : 1
FC Felgueiras
Page 1 of 6

Chaves

(Away)
04 Oct
SC Farense
4 : 0
Chaves
25 Sept
Chaves
0 : 1
Vitoria Guimaraes
20 Sept
Guarda FC
2 : 3
Chaves
13 Sept
Chaves
1 : 0
Feirense
30 Aug
FC Felgueiras
2 : 1
Chaves
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lusitania FC 6 5 1 0 11:4 16
2 Penafiel 6 4 1 1 13:5 13
3 Sporting CP B 6 4 0 2 8:6 12
4 SC Farense 6 3 2 1 11:5 11
5 Vizela 6 3 2 1 7:4 11
6 Benfica B 6 3 1 2 7:5 10
7 Leiria 6 3 1 2 10:7 10
8 Leixoes 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
9 Academica 6 3 0 3 8:10 9
10 Tondela 6 3 0 3 7:6 9
11 Portimonense 6 2 1 3 4:6 7
12 AFS 6 1 3 2 6:6 6
13 FC Felgueiras 6 1 3 2 5:6 6
14 Torreense 6 1 3 2 7:9 6
15 Amarante FC 6 1 2 3 5:8 5
16 Chaves 6 1 1 4 5:13 4
17 FC Porto B 6 1 1 4 4:13 4
18 Feirense 6 0 1 5 1:8 1
Promotion - Liga Portugal 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga 3 2027/2028 (Main)