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SC Farense vs Leixoes

Portugal Portugal

Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 Estádio de São Luís
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Carter A.
Assist: Herrero T.
18'
Menino M.
20' Event
Rochez B.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 game between SC Farense and Leixoes finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Leixoes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
SC Farense
20%
Draws
38%
Leixoes
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: SC Farense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Leixoes come out ahead of SC Farense on wins alone.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on SC Farense taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
SC Farense Clean Sheet 20%
Leixoes Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC Farense Leixoes
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 14
Draws 8 4
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1 1.75
Goals Conceded 0.63 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 Liga Portugal 2
SC Farense vs Leixoes
1:2
Sep 13, 2025 Liga Portugal 2
Leixoes vs SC Farense
0:2
Mar 5, 2023 Liga Portugal 2
SC Farense vs Leixoes
1:0
Nov 9, 2022 Taça de Portugal
Leixoes vs SC Farense
3:1
Sep 11, 2022 Liga Portugal 2
Leixoes vs SC Farense
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SC Farense Compare

Top Goalscorer Carter A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Leixoes Compare

Top Goalscorer Rochez B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bica J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Farense 42 / 100
Leixoes 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC Farense Leixoes

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Leixoes conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Solid form: SC Farense remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

SC Farense found the back of the net in 52% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

SC Farense VS Leixoes
1 Goals Scored 1.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Maritimo34206850:2966
2Academico Viseu34178958:3359
3Torreense341851146:3359
4Vizela341491139:4051
5FC Porto B341561341:4251
6Leiria3413111052:4650
7Leixoes341551446:5550
8Feirense3412101237:4046
9Chaves341361542:4045
10Benfica B3411111243:4444
11FC Felgueiras3411111234:3844
12Lusitania FC3411101344:5243
13Sporting CP B341331841:3442
14Penafiel341181537:3941
15Portimonense341171639:4940
16SC Farense3410101431:3740
17Pacos Ferreira349121334:4839
18Oliveirense348101634:4934