Sport Picks

Portugal

Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 Estádio de São Luís

SC Farense

2 - 1

Lusitania FC

Our Tip

Match Events

13'

Claudio Falcao

Assist: Almeida B.

21'

Sangare B.

36'

Claudio Falcao

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 game between SC Farense and Lusitania FC finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SC Farense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%

SC Farense

11%

Draws

Lusitania FC

Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: SC Farense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence

Lusitania FC carry the better recent record into this one.
SC Farense are the model's pick here, at 80%.
Regular Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
SC Farense have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 3%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%

SC Farense Clean Sheet 68%

Lusitania FC Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	SC Farense	Lusitania FC
Matches Played	33	31
Wins	10	12
Draws	10	7
Losses	13	12
Goals Scored	1.13	0.88
Goals Conceded	0.38	1
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.38	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Liga Portugal 2

SC Farense vs Lusitania FC

Possession: 45% - 52% Cards: 4 - 3

2:1

Oct 4, 2025 Liga Portugal 2

Lusitania FC vs SC Farense

Possession: 55% - 50% Cards: 4 - 2

1:2

Sep 22, 2013 Taça de Portugal

SC Farense vs Lusitania FC

Possession: 49% - 50% Cards: 3 - 4

3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SC Farense Compare

Top Goalscorer Claudio Falcao

1 Goals

Assists Leader Candeias A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.87

Avg xA / game 0.56

Lusitania FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Silva J.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.8

Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Farense 86 / 100

Lusitania FC 11 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

SC Farense Lusitania FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FAR Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.67 goals.

Lusitania FC has conceded goals in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Recent resilience: SC Farense stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Lusitania FC lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SC Farense VS Lusitania FC

1.13 Goals Scored 0.88

0.38 Goals Conceded 1

50% Over 1.5 63%

25% Over 2.5 38%

0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Maritimo	34	20	6	8	50:29	66
2	Academico Viseu	34	17	8	9	58:33	59
3	Torreense	34	18	5	11	46:33	59
4	Vizela	34	14	9	11	39:40	51
5	FC Porto B	34	15	6	13	41:42	51
6	Leiria	34	13	11	10	52:46	50
7	Leixoes	34	15	5	14	46:55	50
8	Feirense	34	12	10	12	37:40	46
9	Chaves	34	13	6	15	42:40	45
10	Benfica B	34	11	11	12	43:44	44
11	FC Felgueiras	34	11	11	12	34:38	44
12	Lusitania FC	34	11	10	13	44:52	43
13	Sporting CP B	34	13	3	18	41:34	42
14	Penafiel	34	11	8	15	37:39	41
15	Portimonense	34	11	7	16	39:49	40
16	SC Farense	34	10	10	14	31:37	40
17	Pacos Ferreira	34	9	12	13	34:48	39
18	Oliveirense	34	8	10	16	34:49	34