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SC Gaucho vs Brasil de Pelotas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Copa FGF 2025
Sun, Nov 23, 2025
0 - 1
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Brasil de Pelotas in this Copa FGF 2025 tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
SC Gaucho
20%
Draws
73%
Brasil de Pelotas
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Brasil de Pelotas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Brasil de Pelotas lately — more wins on the board than SC Gaucho.
  • Brasil de Pelotas are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Brasil de Pelotas arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Brasil de Pelotas, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
SC Gaucho Clean Sheet 18%
Brasil de Pelotas Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC Gaucho Brasil de Pelotas
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 8 11
Draws 7 16
Losses 14 5
Goals Scored 1 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.93 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 Gaucho 2
Brasil de Pelotas vs SC Gaucho
1:1
Nov 23, 2025 Copa FGF
SC Gaucho vs Brasil de Pelotas
0:1
Nov 20, 2025 Copa FGF
Brasil de Pelotas vs SC Gaucho
1:1
Sep 17, 2025 Copa FGF
Brasil de Pelotas vs SC Gaucho
0:0
May 26, 2013 Gaucho 2
SC Gaucho vs Brasil de Pelotas
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Gaucho 15 / 100
Brasil de Pelotas 67 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC Gaucho Brasil de Pelotas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Brasil de Pelotas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Attacking prowess: SC Gaucho scored in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Brasil de Pelotas conceded in 47% of 32 recent games.

Solid form: SC Gaucho remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

SC Gaucho VS Brasil de Pelotas
0.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

SC Gaucho

(Home)
27 Sept
SC Gaucho
0 : 1
Santa Cruz RS
23 Sept
Esportivo Bento Goncalves
2 : 1
SC Gaucho
19 Sept
SC Gaucho
1 : 3
Passo Fundo
16 Sept
Lajeadense
1 : 0
SC Gaucho
13 Sept
SC Gaucho
0 : 0
Veranopolis
Page 1 of 6

Brasil de Pelotas

(Away)
03 Oct
Brasil de Pelotas
0 : 0
Esportivo Bento Goncalves
27 Sept
GE Bage
4 : 1
Brasil de Pelotas
23 Sept
Brasil de Pelotas
2 : 0
GE Gloria
19 Sept
Pelotas
0 : 3
Brasil de Pelotas
16 Sept
Brasil de Pelotas
2 : 0
Santa Cruz RS
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
SC Gaucho -
TBD -
Brasil de Pelotas 4
EC Juventude 2 2
Pelotas -
TBD -
Esportivo Bento Goncalves 0
Aimore 2
Semi-finals
SC Gaucho 1
Brasil de Pelotas 2
Pelotas 2
Aimore 3
Final
Brasil de Pelotas 3
Aimore 1