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SC Gaucho vs Santa Cruz RS

Brazil Brazil

Gaucho 2 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Adriano Napao
86' Event
Marquinhos
90'
Lazaro

AI Match Summary

The Gaucho 2 2025 game between SC Gaucho and Santa Cruz RS finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Santa Cruz RS.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
SC Gaucho
39%
Draws
31%
Santa Cruz RS
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • SC Gaucho carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
SC Gaucho Clean Sheet 68%
Santa Cruz RS Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC Gaucho Santa Cruz RS
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 9 6
Draws 8 13
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.63 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.38 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 20, 2025 Gaucho 2
SC Gaucho vs Santa Cruz RS
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SC Gaucho Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Santa Cruz RS Compare

Top Goalscorer Adriano Napao
1 Goals
Assists Leader Marquinhos
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Gaucho 41 / 100
Santa Cruz RS 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC Gaucho Santa Cruz RS

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GAU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SC Gaucho's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Santa Cruz RS let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: SC Gaucho remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

SC Gaucho VS Santa Cruz RS
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
0.38 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

SC Gaucho

(Home)
23 Nov
SC Gaucho
0 : 1
Brasil de Pelotas
20 Nov
Brasil de Pelotas
1 : 1
SC Gaucho
09 Nov
SC Gaucho
2 : 0
EC Juventude 2
25 Oct
Esportivo Bento Goncalves
1 : 1
SC Gaucho
19 Oct
SC Gaucho
1 : 0
Pelotas
Page 1 of 7

Santa Cruz RS

(Away)
04 Jul
Brasil de Pelotas
1 : 0
Santa Cruz RS
27 Jun
Santa Cruz RS
1 : 1
Brasil de Pelotas
17 Jun
Santa Cruz RS
2 : 2
Gramadense
14 Jun
Brasil de Farroupilha
1 : 1
Santa Cruz RS
08 Jun
Monsoon
1 : 1
Santa Cruz RS
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Aimore1494116:531
2Inter Santa Maria1485116:729
3Passo Fundo1476120:1227
4Novo Hamburgo1473417:824
5Gramadense1466213:924
6Veranopolis1465317:923
7GE Bage145639:521
8Lajeadense1456313:1421
9Santa Cruz RS1446412:1118
10Brasil de Farroupilha1443715:2015
11GE Gloria142758:1313
12Esportivo Bento Goncalves1432912:2111
13Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol141766:1610
14SC Gaucho1423915:209
15Real SC1403114:233
16Futvida00000:00
Promotion - Gaucho 2 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Gaucho 3 2026 (Main)