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SC Gaucho vs Sao Gabriel - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Copa FGF 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Marcus Brito
40' Event
Marcus Brito
51' Event
Maicon Assis

AI Match Summary

SC Gaucho in this Copa FGF 2025 tie, finishing 6-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
SC Gaucho
15%
Draws
0%
Sao Gabriel
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SC Gaucho

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Sao Gabriel haven't matched SC Gaucho's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans SC Gaucho's way, sitting at 90%.
  • SC Gaucho have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor SC Gaucho, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.6%
SC Gaucho Clean Sheet 20%
Sao Gabriel Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC Gaucho Sao Gabriel
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 1
Draws 7 5
Losses 14 23
Goals Scored 1 0.34
Goals Conceded 0.93 2.97
Expected Goals (xG) 2.56 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 24, 2025 Copa FGF
SC Gaucho vs Sao Gabriel
6:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SC Gaucho Compare

Top Goalscorer Marcus Brito
2 Goals
Assists Leader Maicon Assis
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.97
Avg xA / game 1.28

Sao Gabriel Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Gaucho 85 / 100
Sao Gabriel 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC Gaucho Sao Gabriel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SC Gaucho Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Sao Gabriel lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Sao Gabriel has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

SC Gaucho found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

SC Gaucho VS Sao Gabriel
1.13 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 4
63% Over 1.5 100%
13% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

SC Gaucho

(Home)
27 Sept
SC Gaucho
0 : 1
Santa Cruz RS
23 Sept
Esportivo Bento Goncalves
2 : 1
SC Gaucho
19 Sept
SC Gaucho
1 : 3
Passo Fundo
16 Sept
Lajeadense
1 : 0
SC Gaucho
13 Sept
SC Gaucho
0 : 0
Veranopolis
Page 1 of 6

Sao Gabriel

(Away)
16 Nov
Sao Gabriel
0 : 5
SC Sao Paulo
09 Nov
Pelotas
3 : 0
Sao Gabriel
08 Nov
Riograndense
8 : 0
Sao Gabriel
29 Oct
Internacional 2
7 : 0
Sao Gabriel
25 Oct
SC Rio Grande
3 : 1
Sao Gabriel
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pelotas 7 5 1 1 19:3 16
2 SC Gaucho 7 4 2 1 11:3 14
3 Brasil de Pelotas 7 3 4 0 16:4 13
4 Esportivo Bento Goncalves 7 3 3 1 12:6 12
5 Aimore 7 3 1 3 9:5 10
6 EC Juventude 2 7 1 2 4 5:16 7
7 Internacional 2 7 2 0 5 10:15 6
8 EC Sao Jose (PA) 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Sao Gabriel 7 0 1 6 0:30 -4
Promotion - Copa FGF 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa FGF 2025 (Play Offs)