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SC Hassel vs Sprockhovel

Germany Germany

Oberliga Westfalen 2017/2018
Sun, Mar 18, 2018
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sprockhovel head into this one in great shape. With an average of 1.1 xG per match, they pose a serious threat even on the road. Both back lines have been leakier than usual lately, which points to an open game with chances for both sides. History suggests plenty of goals when these two play. Over 2.5 goals seems highly likely based on recent attacking form. The numbers suggest backing Sprockhovel has the better value, giving them a 66% chance.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
SC Hassel
16%
Draws
66%
Sprockhovel
Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Sprockhovel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

92% / Very High Confidence
  • SC Hassel picked up more points recently compared to Sprockhovel.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.85 vs 1.11 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 68%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 85%
Over 2.5 Goals 68%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64%
SC Hassel Clean Sheet 21%
Sprockhovel Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC Hassel Sprockhovel
Matches Played 9 36
Wins 1 14
Draws 1 6
Losses 7 16
Goals Scored 0.78 1.86
Goals Conceded 2.56 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.85 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40
Possession % 53.5% 46.5%
Shots per Match 13.8 11.2
Shots on Target 4.8 3.6
Corners per Match 5.6 4.4
Yellow/Red Cards 1.8 2.2

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

18.03.18 Oberliga Westfalen
SC Hassel vs Sprockhovel
0:0
17.09.17 Oberliga Westfalen
Sprockhovel vs SC Hassel
3:1

Tactical Matchup Profile

Field Positions & Control Styles

SC Hassel

Pressing Intensity Medium Block
Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks
Wing Attack Frequency A lot of crosses
Defensive Alignment Sit deep
Strengths
  • Dangerous on corners
  • Overlap on the wings
  • Quick counters
Weaknesses
  • Vulnerable to counters
  • Weak in the air

Sprockhovel

Pressing Intensity Passive low block (PPDA > 14)
Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks
Wing Attack Frequency Play through the middle
Defensive Alignment Sit deep
Strengths
  • Quick recovery
  • Solid midfield screen
  • Quick counters
Weaknesses
  • Fouling under pressure
  • Defending set pieces

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SC Hassel Compare

Top Goalscorer Key Forward
11 Goals
Assists Leader Midfield Maestro
9 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.14

Sprockhovel Compare

Top Goalscorer Key Forward
8 Goals
Assists Leader Midfield Maestro
6 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.21
Avg xA / game 0.81

Availability Alerts

Key Defender Sprockhovel • Hamstring Injury
Out Rating: 8.5
Starting Midfielder SC Hassel • Ankle Sprain
Doubtful Rating: 6.8
Backup Goalkeeper Sprockhovel • Muscle strain
Out Rating: 3.2
Star Striker SC Hassel • Returning to training
Returning Rating: 9.4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Hassel 20 / 100
Sprockhovel 61 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC Hassel Sprockhovel

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sprockhovel Win (2)
Secondary Pick Sprockhovel & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +80%
10.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.5%
1.61
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Expected Match Flow Timeline

Dominance and pressure projections by 15-minute intervals

0' - 15' Dominance Index

SC Hassel will likely press early to force mistakes.

SC Hassel 59%
Sprockhovel 37%
15' - 30' Dominance Index

Sprockhovel should settle down and try to slow the pace.

SC Hassel 54%
Sprockhovel 44%
30' - 45' Dominance Index

Both sides will look to break quickly before the half-time whistle.

SC Hassel 51%
Sprockhovel 49%
45' - 60' Dominance Index

Tactical adjustments will show. Expect SC Hassel to push more players wide.

SC Hassel 56%
Sprockhovel 44%
60' - 75' Dominance Index

Players will tire. Fresh legs from the bench will spark quicker counter-attacks.

SC Hassel 51%
Sprockhovel 49%
75' - 90' Dominance Index

Late drama. Teams will take major risks depending on the scoreline.

SC Hassel 62%
Sprockhovel 53%

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

SC Hassel attacking → ← attacking Sprockhovel

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SC Hassel have scored in 90% of their home games in the past 12 months.

Sprockhovel concede most goals (47%) in the final 15 minutes of matches.

Meetings between these sides average 23 shots per game, well above the league median.

SC Hassel are unbeaten in 7 straight matches when scoring first.

Sprockhovel have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last 9 matches.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Fatigue: Both played three matches in ten days, so managers might rotate players.

Risk Factor

Incentive: SC Hassel wants a European spot, while Sprockhovel is battling relegation.

Risk Factor

Cards: Historically tense game, a red card could change the whole setup.

Public Accuracy Dashboard

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Overall Accuracy 78.4%
BTTS Accuracy 73.1%
Over 2.5 Accuracy 75.6%
Correct Score Accuracy 18.9%
*All accuracy percentages are audited daily against official match logs.

Recent Predictions Log

Date Prediction Result Status
2026-07-05 Over 2.5 Goals 1-0 Lost
2026-07-01 Home Win (1) 2-0 Won
2026-06-27 Over 2.5 Goals 3-1 Won
2026-06-23 Home Win (1) 1-1 Lost
2026-06-19 Over 2.5 Goals 3-1 Won
2026-06-15 Home Win (1) 2-0 Won
2026-06-11 Over 2.5 Goals 1-0 Lost
2026-06-07 Home Win (1) 2-0 Won

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

4 Points in last 5 48
1.85 Goals expected (xG) 1.11
1.10 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.40
53.5% Ball possession % 46.5%
13.8 Shots per game 11.2
4.8 Shots on target 3.6
5.6 Corners per game 4.4
1.8 Cards per game 2.2