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SC Humaita vs Sao Francisco FC (AC)

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Acreano
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Match Events

8' Event
Thon
10' Event
Thon
24' Event
Thon

AI Match Summary

SC Humaita host Sao Francisco FC (AC) in the Acreano. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: SC Humaita at 1.38 goals for, 1.25 against; Sao Francisco FC (AC) at 0.5 for, 4 against. Head-to-head, SC Humaita have won 3 to Sao Francisco FC (AC)'s 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Feb 24, 2026, ending 7:0. xG projections (2.69 - 0.88) back Sao Francisco FC (AC) to edge this. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
SC Humaita
6%
Draws
90%
Sao Francisco FC (AC)
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Sao Francisco FC (AC)

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Sao Francisco FC (AC) has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to SC Humaita.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Sao Francisco FC (AC).
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Acreano provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
SC Humaita Clean Sheet 20%
Sao Francisco FC (AC) Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC Humaita Sao Francisco FC (AC)
Matches Played 35 31
Wins 8 10
Draws 7 4
Losses 20 17
Goals Scored 1.38 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.25 4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 4.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 24, 2026 Acreano
SC Humaita vs Sao Francisco FC (AC)
7:0
Mar 16, 2025 Acreano
Sao Francisco FC (AC) vs SC Humaita
0:4
Apr 10, 2024 Acreano
Sao Francisco FC (AC) vs SC Humaita
1:1
Mar 3, 2024 Acreano
Sao Francisco FC (AC) vs SC Humaita
1:2
Jun 24, 2023 Serie D
SC Humaita vs Sao Francisco FC (AC)
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SC Humaita Compare

Top Goalscorer Thon
4 Goals
Assists Leader Aldair
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sao Francisco FC (AC) Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Humaita 10 / 100
Sao Francisco FC (AC) 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC Humaita Sao Francisco FC (AC)

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SC Humaita scored in 63% of their last 35 games.

Sao Francisco FC (AC) let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

SC Humaita went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Sao Francisco FC (AC) lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SC Humaita VS Sao Francisco FC (AC)
1.38 Goals Scored 0.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 4
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 75%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Galvez751115:616
2SC Humaita743015:315
3Santa Cruz AC741215:713
4Rio Branco AC741214:913
5Independencia Futebol Clube72149:117
6Senador Guiomard71247:125
7Sao Francisco FC (AC)71154:264
8Vasco da Gama AC712410:15-1