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SC Lusitania vs CD Rabo Peixe

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2023/2024
SC Lusitania Logo

SC Lusitania

2 - 0
FT
CD Rabo Peixe Logo

CD Rabo Peixe

Our Tip

Match Events

51' Event
Rafa Tche
68' Event
do Rio P.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

SC Lusitania in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored SC Lusitania.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
SC Lusitania
15%
Draws
64%
CD Rabo Peixe
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CD Rabo Peixe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

21% / Low Confidence
  • Not much separates SC Lusitania and CD Rabo Peixe on recent form.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
SC Lusitania Clean Sheet 68%
CD Rabo Peixe Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC Lusitania CD Rabo Peixe
Matches Played 36 32
Wins 9 9
Draws 7 7
Losses 20 16
Goals Scored 1.06 1.06
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.56
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 21, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
SC Lusitania vs CD Rabo Peixe
2:0
Sep 3, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
CD Rabo Peixe vs SC Lusitania
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SC Lusitania Compare

Top Goalscorer Rafa Tche
1 Goals
Assists Leader do Rio P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

CD Rabo Peixe Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Lusitania 41 / 100
CD Rabo Peixe 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC Lusitania CD Rabo Peixe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SC Lusitania Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

SC Lusitania scored in 67% of their last 36 games.

CD Rabo Peixe's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 32 matches.

CD Rabo Peixe lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SC Lusitania VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

SC Lusitania

(Home)
18 Apr
GD Peniche
5 : 1
SC Lusitania
12 Apr
SC Lusitania
1 : 2
Oliveira Hospital
04 Apr
Marinhense
1 : 1
SC Lusitania
22 Mar
Lajense
3 : 1
SC Lusitania
15 Mar
SC Lusitania
0 : 1
Uniao Da Serra
Page 1 of 8

CD Rabo Peixe

(Away)
07 Sept
Sacavenense
7 : 0
CD Rabo Peixe
21 Sept
Anadia
3 : 0
CD Rabo Peixe
07 Apr
Tomar
0 : 4
CD Rabo Peixe
24 Mar
CD Rabo Peixe
0 : 3
Alverca B
17 Mar
Mortagua FC
2 : 1
CD Rabo Peixe
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santarem 26 17 4 5 52:23 55
2 SC Lusitania 26 15 6 5 40:22 51
3 Marinhense 26 15 5 6 43:26 50
4 Alverca B 26 11 6 9 34:19 39
5 Uniao de Coimbra 26 11 5 10 30:26 38
6 SB Castelo Branco 26 10 7 9 34:29 37
7 GD Peniche 26 11 4 11 28:39 37
8 Sertanense 26 10 7 9 26:25 37
9 Mortagua FC 26 10 7 9 30:36 37
10 GD Fontinhas 26 9 5 12 23:32 32
11 CD Rabo Peixe 26 8 6 12 30:34 28
12 Vitoria Sernache 26 5 10 11 17:30 25
13 CD Gouveia 26 5 6 15 35:48 21
14 Tomar 26 5 2 19 20:53 17
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Promotion Group 2023/2024 (Main)