Sport Picks

Stadium Background

SC Lusitania vs Electrico FC

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Souza B.
40' Event
Kawan R.
(Penalty)
45' Event
Sousa M.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2025/2026 game between SC Lusitania and Electrico FC finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SC Lusitania.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
SC Lusitania
15%
Draws
64%
Electrico FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Electrico FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • SC Lusitania have managed 0.93 goals a game lately — Electrico FC are scoring more at 1.2.
  • Electrico FC are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
SC Lusitania Clean Sheet 10%
Electrico FC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC Lusitania Electrico FC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 5
Draws 6 4
Losses 19 21
Goals Scored 0.93 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.87 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
SC Lusitania vs Electrico FC
3:2
Oct 26, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Electrico FC vs SC Lusitania
3:0
Jan 28, 2018 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Electrico FC vs SC Lusitania
2:1
Sep 10, 2017 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
SC Lusitania vs Electrico FC
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SC Lusitania Compare

Top Goalscorer Sousa M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Electrico FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Souza B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dantas Monteiro C. S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Lusitania 26 / 100
Electrico FC 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC Lusitania Electrico FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Electrico FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Electrico FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.25 goals as a typical output.

SC Lusitania found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Away concern: Electrico FC has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

SC Lusitania VS Electrico FC
0.88 Goals Scored 1.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 3.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

SC Lusitania

(Home)
18 Apr
GD Peniche
5 : 1
SC Lusitania
12 Apr
SC Lusitania
1 : 2
Oliveira Hospital
04 Apr
Marinhense
1 : 1
SC Lusitania
22 Mar
Lajense
3 : 1
SC Lusitania
15 Mar
SC Lusitania
0 : 1
Uniao Da Serra
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Electrico FC

(Away)
18 Apr
Mortagua FC
2 : 1
Electrico FC
12 Apr
Electrico FC
0 : 3
Fatima
04 Apr
Samora Correia
2 : 1
Electrico FC
22 Mar
Electrico FC
4 : 2
GD Peniche
15 Mar
Oliveira Hospital
5 : 0
Electrico FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vitoria Sernache 26 16 7 3 33:12 55
2 Oliveira Hospital 26 14 8 4 39:13 50
3 Naval 1893 26 14 6 6 36:23 48
4 SB Castelo Branco 26 14 4 8 43:26 46
5 Uniao Da Serra 26 12 8 6 38:27 44
6 Mortagua FC 26 11 6 9 23:26 39
7 Os Marialvas 26 10 6 10 33:28 36
8 Fatima 26 8 8 10 27:29 32
9 Lajense 26 8 8 10 37:37 32
10 GD Peniche 26 8 6 12 34:43 30
11 Samora Correia 26 8 5 13 27:35 29
12 Marinhense 26 5 9 12 20:38 24
13 Electrico FC 26 5 4 17 33:62 19
14 SC Lusitania 26 4 5 17 24:48 17
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)