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SC Lusitania vs Grijo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato Nacional - Group D 2013/2014
SC Lusitania Logo

SC Lusitania

2 - 1
FT
Grijo Logo

Grijo

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Nacional - Group D 2013/2014 game between SC Lusitania and Grijo finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SC Lusitania.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
SC Lusitania
15%
Draws
64%
Grijo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Grijo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • SC Lusitania have managed 1 goals a game lately — Grijo are scoring more at 1.4.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Campeonato Nacional - Group D 2013/2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
SC Lusitania Clean Sheet 19%
Grijo Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC Lusitania Grijo
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 7 7
Draws 6 11
Losses 19 12
Goals Scored 1 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.78 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2014 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
SC Lusitania vs Grijo
2:1
Mar 30, 2014 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Grijo vs SC Lusitania
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Lusitania 32 / 100
Grijo 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC Lusitania Grijo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Grijo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Grijo has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Attacking prowess: SC Lusitania scored in 66% of their last 32 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Grijo's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

SC Lusitania VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

SC Lusitania

(Home)
18 Apr
GD Peniche
5 : 1
SC Lusitania
12 Apr
SC Lusitania
1 : 2
Oliveira Hospital
04 Apr
Marinhense
1 : 1
SC Lusitania
22 Mar
Lajense
3 : 1
SC Lusitania
15 Mar
SC Lusitania
0 : 1
Uniao Da Serra
Page 1 of 7

Grijo

(Away)
21 Aug
Rebordosa
3 : 1
Grijo
24 May
SC Lusitania
2 : 1
Grijo
11 May
Grijo
1 : 2
Lusitano FCV
04 May
Bustelo
0 : 2
Grijo
27 Apr
Grijo
0 : 1
Estarreja
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cinfaes 14 8 2 4 19:11 38
2 Anadia 14 6 4 4 17:14 35
3 Lusitano FCV 14 7 3 4 16:11 34
4 SC Lusitania 14 5 4 5 11:10 31
5 SC Espinho 14 5 4 5 18:17 28
6 Estarreja 14 6 2 6 12:19 28
7 Grijo 14 4 3 7 19:23 26
8 Bustelo 14 2 4 8 10:17 23
Relegation - Campeonato Nacional - Group A 2013/2014 (Play Out)