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AI Match Summary
Mortagua FC in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mortagua FC.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Mortagua FC have won more games recently than SC Lusitania.
- Model gives Mortagua FC a 60% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | SC Lusitania | Mortagua FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 5 | 14 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 19 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 0.88 | 0.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.13 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.13 | 1.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
SC Lusitania Compare
Mortagua FC Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
SC Lusitania's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Defensive concern: Mortagua FC conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.75 goals.
Mortagua FC's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
SC Lusitania
(Home)Mortagua FC
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vitoria Sernache | 26 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 33:12 | 55 |
| 2 | Oliveira Hospital | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 39:13 | 50 |
| 3 | Naval 1893 | 26 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 36:23 | 48 |
| 4 | SB Castelo Branco | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 43:26 | 46 |
| 5 | Uniao Da Serra | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 38:27 | 44 |
| 6 | Mortagua FC | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 23:26 | 39 |
| 7 | Os Marialvas | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 33:28 | 36 |
| 8 | Fatima | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 27:29 | 32 |
| 9 | Lajense | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 37:37 | 32 |
| 10 | GD Peniche | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 34:43 | 30 |
| 11 | Samora Correia | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 27:35 | 29 |
| 12 | Marinhense | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 20:38 | 24 |
| 13 | Electrico FC | 26 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 33:62 | 19 |
| 14 | SC Lusitania | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 24:48 | 17 |