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SC Lusitania vs Uniao Da Serra

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Justino G. T. F.

AI Match Summary

Uniao Da Serra in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group C matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Uniao Da Serra.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
SC Lusitania
6%
Draws
90%
Uniao Da Serra
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Uniao Da Serra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • SC Lusitania haven't matched Uniao Da Serra's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Uniao Da Serra a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
SC Lusitania Clean Sheet 11%
Uniao Da Serra Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC Lusitania Uniao Da Serra
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 5 13
Draws 6 8
Losses 19 8
Goals Scored 0.88 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.13 0.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
SC Lusitania vs Uniao Da Serra
0:1
Nov 9, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Uniao Da Serra vs SC Lusitania
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SC Lusitania Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Uniao Da Serra Compare

Top Goalscorer Justino G. T. F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Lusitania 10 / 100
Uniao Da Serra 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC Lusitania Uniao Da Serra

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UNI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SC Lusitania scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Uniao Da Serra has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

SC Lusitania went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SC Lusitania VS Uniao Da Serra
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.38
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vitoria Sernache26167333:1255
2Oliveira Hospital26148439:1350
3Naval 189326146636:2348
4SB Castelo Branco26144843:2646
5Uniao Da Serra26128638:2744
6Mortagua FC26116923:2639
7Os Marialvas261061033:2836
8Fatima26881027:2932
9Lajense26881037:3732
10GD Peniche26861234:4330
11Samora Correia26851327:3529
12Marinhense26591220:3824
13Electrico FC26541733:6219
14SC Lusitania26451724:4817