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SC Lusitania vs Uniao Da Serra

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Justino G. T. F.

AI Match Summary

Uniao Da Serra in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Uniao Da Serra.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

6%
SC Lusitania
30%
Draws
64%
Uniao Da Serra
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Uniao Da Serra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • SC Lusitania haven't matched Uniao Da Serra's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Uniao Da Serra a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
SC Lusitania Clean Sheet 11%
Uniao Da Serra Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC Lusitania Uniao Da Serra
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 14
Draws 6 9
Losses 19 7
Goals Scored 0.93 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.87 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.83
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
SC Lusitania vs Uniao Da Serra
0:1
Nov 9, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Uniao Da Serra vs SC Lusitania
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SC Lusitania Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Uniao Da Serra Compare

Top Goalscorer Justino G. T. F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.66
Avg xA / game 1.02

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Lusitania 10 / 100
Uniao Da Serra 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC Lusitania Uniao Da Serra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Uniao Da Serra Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SC Lusitania scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Uniao Da Serra has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

SC Lusitania went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SC Lusitania VS Uniao Da Serra
1 Goals Scored 1.38
2.29 Goals Conceded 1
86% Over 1.5 63%
57% Over 2.5 25%
43% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

SC Lusitania

(Home)
18 Apr
GD Peniche
5 : 1
SC Lusitania
12 Apr
SC Lusitania
1 : 2
Oliveira Hospital
04 Apr
Marinhense
1 : 1
SC Lusitania
22 Mar
Lajense
3 : 1
SC Lusitania
15 Mar
SC Lusitania
0 : 1
Uniao Da Serra
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Uniao Da Serra

(Away)
20 Sept
Amora
3 : 4
Uniao Da Serra
13 Sept
Uniao Da Serra
1 : 1
Mortagua FC
06 Sept
Nogueirense
1 : 1
Uniao Da Serra
30 Aug
Uniao Da Serra
5 : 0
Uniao de Pombal
23 Aug
Uniao Da Serra
2 : 1
Alverca B
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vitoria Sernache 26 16 7 3 33:12 55
2 Oliveira Hospital 26 14 8 4 39:13 50
3 Naval 1893 26 14 6 6 36:23 48
4 SB Castelo Branco 26 14 4 8 43:26 46
5 Uniao Da Serra 26 12 8 6 38:27 44
6 Mortagua FC 26 11 6 9 23:26 39
7 Os Marialvas 26 10 6 10 33:28 36
8 Fatima 26 8 8 10 27:29 32
9 Lajense 26 8 8 10 37:37 32
10 GD Peniche 26 8 6 12 34:43 30
11 Samora Correia 26 8 5 13 27:35 29
12 Marinhense 26 5 9 12 20:38 24
13 Electrico FC 26 5 4 17 33:62 19
14 SC Lusitania 26 4 5 17 24:48 17
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)