Sport Picks

Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Promotion Group 2023/2024

SC Lusitania

2 - 1

Vitoria Setubal

Our Tip

Match Events

11'

Figueiredo L.

38'

Rafa Tche

75'

Duran C.

(Penalty)

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

SC Lusitania in this Campeonato de Portugal - Promotion Group 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored SC Lusitania.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%

SC Lusitania

20%

Draws

70%

Vitoria Setubal

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vitoria Setubal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence

Vitoria Setubal have won more games recently than SC Lusitania.
Win probability leans Vitoria Setubal's way, sitting at 80%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
These two have met 3 times recently and Vitoria Setubal have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 87%

Over 1.5 Goals 77.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%

SC Lusitania Clean Sheet 13%

Vitoria Setubal Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	SC Lusitania	Vitoria Setubal
Matches Played	32	29
Wins	6	15
Draws	6	5
Losses	20	9
Goals Scored	0.97	1.52
Goals Conceded	1.88	1.14
Expected Goals (xG)	1.19	1.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 1, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Promotion Group

SC Lusitania vs Vitoria Setubal

2:1

May 5, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Promotion Group

Vitoria Setubal vs SC Lusitania

3:1

Nov 23, 2002 Taça de Portugal

SC Lusitania vs Vitoria Setubal

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SC Lusitania Compare

Top Goalscorer Rafa Tche

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.92

Avg xA / game 0.59

Vitoria Setubal Compare

Top Goalscorer Figueiredo L.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.52

Avg xA / game 0.93

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Lusitania 11 / 100

Vitoria Setubal 86 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

SC Lusitania Vitoria Setubal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vitoria Setubal Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: SC Lusitania scored in 66% of their last 32 outings.

H2H data points to 2.67 goals as a typical output.

Vitoria Setubal let in goals in 55% of their last 29 matches.

SC Lusitania has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

SC Lusitania VS Vitoria Setubal

0.88 Goals Scored 1.33

2 Goals Conceded 1.5

88% Over 1.5 67%

50% Over 2.5 50%

25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

SC Lusitania

(Home)

18 Apr

GD Peniche

5 : 1

SC Lusitania

12 Apr

SC Lusitania

1 : 2

Oliveira Hospital

04 Apr

Marinhense

1 : 1

SC Lusitania

22 Mar

Lajense

3 : 1

SC Lusitania

15 Mar

SC Lusitania

0 : 1

Uniao Da Serra

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Vitoria Setubal

(Away)

20 Sept

Alcains

0 : 2

Vitoria Setubal

13 Sept

Vitoria Setubal

2 : 2

Juv. Evora

06 Sept

Lajense

0 : 1

Vitoria Setubal

23 Aug

Vitoria Setubal

1 : 3

Amora

16 Aug

Serpa

4 : 2

Vitoria Setubal

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