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SC Mecheria vs ASM Oran - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Algeria Algeria

Ligue 2 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
25' Event
Friefer B.
55' Event

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 2 2024/2025 game between SC Mecheria and ASM Oran finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward ASM Oran.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
SC Mecheria
15%
Draws
85%
ASM Oran
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: ASM Oran

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and ASM Oran come out ahead of SC Mecheria on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans ASM Oran's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and ASM Oran have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
SC Mecheria Clean Sheet 17%
ASM Oran Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC Mecheria ASM Oran
Matches Played 31 34
Wins 3 20
Draws 3 3
Losses 25 11
Goals Scored 0.65 1.32
Goals Conceded 2.16 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2025 Ligue 2
SC Mecheria vs ASM Oran
2:3
Nov 23, 2024 Ligue 2
ASM Oran vs SC Mecheria
1:0
Feb 23, 2024 Ligue 2
ASM Oran vs SC Mecheria
2:1
Oct 6, 2023 Ligue 2
SC Mecheria vs ASM Oran
1:2
May 6, 2023 Ligue 2
SC Mecheria vs ASM Oran
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SC Mecheria Compare

Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.42

ASM Oran Compare

Top Goalscorer Friefer B.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.79

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Mecheria 10 / 100
ASM Oran 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC Mecheria ASM Oran

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ASM Oran Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Away concern: ASM Oran has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

SC Mecheria's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

ASM Oran let in goals in 56% of their last 34 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS ASM Oran
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 0.5
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

SC Mecheria

(Home)
06 Dec
Wifaq Ain Benian
2 : 1
SC Mecheria
16 May
SC Mecheria
0 : 3
JS El Biar
09 May
CR Temouchent
4 : 0
SC Mecheria
27 Apr
SC Mecheria
1 : 3
GC Mascara
18 Apr
Hussein Dey
5 : 1
SC Mecheria
Page 1 of 7

ASM Oran

(Away)
03 Oct
Saida
1 : 0
ASM Oran
26 Sept
ASM Oran
3 : 1
WA Mostaganem
19 Sept
Harrach
1 : 0
ASM Oran
08 May
Adrar
1 : 4
ASM Oran
01 May
ASM Oran
0 : 1
RC Kouba
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rouisset 30 22 5 3 45:14 71
2 Harrach 30 21 7 2 52:15 70
3 JS Djijel 30 14 6 10 45:25 48
4 Annaba 30 13 8 9 45:34 47
5 MO Constantine 30 13 4 13 43:39 43
6 IB Khemis El Khechna 30 12 6 12 34:34 42
7 US Chaouia 30 12 6 12 33:35 42
8 CA Batna 30 11 9 10 39:37 41
9 Chelghoum 30 11 8 11 30:31 41
10 Khroub 30 11 7 12 44:38 40
11 Bordj Menail 30 11 7 12 30:32 40
12 MSP Batna 30 10 9 11 30:35 38
13 Telaghema 30 8 14 8 31:32 37
14 Ouargla 30 7 8 15 30:43 27
15 Olympique Magrane 30 5 4 21 28:66 17
16 US Souf 30 3 4 23 29:78 10
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ES Ben Aknoun 30 19 10 1 44:14 67
2 RC Kouba 30 15 10 5 43:22 55
3 JS El Biar 30 16 7 7 37:21 55
4 Hussein Dey 30 11 13 6 35:25 46
5 WA Mostaganem 30 12 7 11 35:32 43
6 CR Temouchent 30 10 10 10 32:25 40
7 ASM Oran 30 10 10 10 21:22 40
8 Kolea 30 10 10 10 28:32 40
9 Saida 30 9 12 9 28:29 39
10 JSM Tiaret 30 9 13 8 32:30 37
11 Arba 30 10 7 13 35:37 37
12 Bechar Djedid 30 10 7 13 40:46 37
13 GC Mascara 30 10 9 11 31:38 37
14 El Khemis 30 8 8 14 31:33 30
15 Oued Sly 30 7 4 19 22:42 22
16 SC Mecheria 30 3 3 24 19:65 10
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Main)