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SC Mirandela vs Sao Martinho

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Levezinho N.
90' Event
Pedro Paulo
90'
Silva T.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 game between SC Mirandela and Sao Martinho finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SC Mirandela.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
SC Mirandela
15%
Draws
46%
Sao Martinho
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sao Martinho

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • SC Mirandela carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
SC Mirandela Clean Sheet 68%
Sao Martinho Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC Mirandela Sao Martinho
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 10
Draws 2 4
Losses 17 16
Goals Scored 0.77 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
SC Mirandela vs Sao Martinho
2:0
Dec 14, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Sao Martinho vs SC Mirandela
0:1
Feb 27, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
SC Mirandela vs Sao Martinho
0:1
Oct 24, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Sao Martinho vs SC Mirandela
2:0
Mar 8, 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
SC Mirandela vs Sao Martinho
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SC Mirandela Compare

Top Goalscorer Levezinho N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pedro Paulo
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Sao Martinho Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Mirandela 41 / 100
Sao Martinho 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC Mirandela Sao Martinho

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SC Mirandela Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sao Martinho let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

SC Mirandela scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.

SC Mirandela has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

SC Mirandela VS Sao Martinho
0.63 Goals Scored 0.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

SC Mirandela

(Home)
18 Apr
Brito
2 : 0
SC Mirandela
12 Apr
SC Mirandela
2 : 0
Sao Martinho
04 Apr
SC Vianense
1 : 0
SC Mirandela
22 Mar
SC Mirandela
0 : 1
Tirsense
15 Mar
Chaves B
1 : 2
SC Mirandela
Page 1 of 6

Sao Martinho

(Away)
18 Apr
Sao Martinho
3 : 1
Desportivo Moncao
12 Apr
SC Mirandela
2 : 0
Sao Martinho
04 Apr
Sao Martinho
2 : 0
CD Ribeira Brava
22 Mar
Celoricense
0 : 0
Sao Martinho
15 Mar
Sao Martinho
0 : 1
Vilaverdense FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 GD Braganca 26 14 6 6 41:29 48
2 SC Vianense 26 14 6 6 49:28 48
3 Brito 26 14 4 8 36:24 46
4 Celoricense 26 11 9 6 35:23 42
5 AD Limianos 26 11 8 7 35:32 41
6 Tirsense 26 9 13 4 31:22 40
7 Camacha 26 9 9 8 34:26 36
8 Chaves B 26 9 9 8 40:29 36
9 Machico 26 10 6 10 28:30 36
10 Sao Martinho 26 10 4 12 22:31 34
11 SC Mirandela 26 10 2 14 21:29 32
12 Vilaverdense FC 26 4 9 13 15:31 21
13 CD Ribeira Brava 26 4 8 14 20:46 20
14 Desportivo Moncao 26 4 5 17 26:53 17
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)