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Stadium Background

SC Penedense vs Clube Sociedade Esportiva

Brazil Brazil

Alagoano Estádio Alfredo Leahy
Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Sub
Didira In: Darli
Out: Didira
21'
Carlos Henrique
22'
Victor Hugo

AI Match Summary

The Alagoano game between SC Penedense and Clube Sociedade Esportiva finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Clube Sociedade Esportiva.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
SC Penedense
39%
Draws
31%
Clube Sociedade Esportiva
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Clube Sociedade Esportiva come out ahead of SC Penedense on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Clube Sociedade Esportiva here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 64%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
SC Penedense Clean Sheet 68%
Clube Sociedade Esportiva Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC Penedense Clube Sociedade Esportiva
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 4 10
Draws 10 7
Losses 17 13
Goals Scored 0.6 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.60 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.20 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 29, 2026 Copa Alagoas
Clube Sociedade Esportiva vs SC Penedense
1:0
Jan 21, 2026 Alagoano
SC Penedense vs Clube Sociedade Esportiva
0:2
Mar 30, 2025 Copa Alagoas
Clube Sociedade Esportiva vs SC Penedense
1:0
Mar 26, 2025 Copa Alagoas
SC Penedense vs Clube Sociedade Esportiva
1:1
Feb 5, 2025 Copa Alagoas
Clube Sociedade Esportiva vs SC Penedense
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SC Penedense Compare

Avg xG / game 0.46
Avg xA / game 0.3

Clube Sociedade Esportiva Compare

Top Goalscorer Pedro Junior
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rafael Vaz
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Penedense 41 / 100
Clube Sociedade Esportiva 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC Penedense Clube Sociedade Esportiva

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Clube Sociedade Esportiva's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Difficult form: Clube Sociedade Esportiva registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

SC Penedense found the back of the net in 32% of recent matches (31 games).

Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

SC Penedense VS Clube Sociedade Esportiva
0.6 Goals Scored 1.5
1.2 Goals Conceded 1.88
40% Over 1.5 88%
20% Over 2.5 88%
20% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1ASA752013:317
2CSA752010:117
3CRB74128:813
4Murici73228:511
5Cruzeiro Arapiraca72056:126
6Coruripe71245:115
7SC Penedense71242:85
8Clube Sociedade Esportiva71156:104