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SC Penedense vs Coruripe

Brazil Brazil

Copa Alagoas 2025 Estádio Alfredo Leahy, Penedo
Our Tip

Match Events

53' Event
Nilton
75' Event
Afonso
79' Event
Afonso

AI Match Summary

SC Penedense in this Copa Alagoas 2025 tie, finishing 3-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
SC Penedense
44%
Draws
20%
Coruripe
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Coruripe have won more games recently than SC Penedense.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Coruripe arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor SC Penedense, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.6%
SC Penedense Clean Sheet 23%
Coruripe Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC Penedense Coruripe
Matches Played 36 29
Wins 7 9
Draws 12 10
Losses 17 10
Goals Scored 0.25 1
Goals Conceded 1 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2026 Alagoano
Coruripe vs SC Penedense
1:1
Mar 23, 2025 Copa Alagoas
SC Penedense vs Coruripe
3:0
Mar 16, 2025 Copa Alagoas
Coruripe vs SC Penedense
1:1
Jan 26, 2025 Alagoano
SC Penedense vs Coruripe
0:0
Mar 24, 2024 Copa Alagoas
SC Penedense vs Coruripe
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SC Penedense Compare

Top Goalscorer Afonso
2 Goals
Assists Leader Nilton
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.19
Avg xA / game 0.13

Coruripe Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Penedense 37 / 100
Coruripe 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC Penedense Coruripe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick COR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Coruripe conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

SC Penedense scored in 39% of their last 36 games.

SC Penedense has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

SC Penedense VS Coruripe
0.25 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1
38% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

SC Penedense

(Home)
18 Mar
SC Penedense
2 : 2
Zumbi
02 Mar
SC Penedense
0 : 1
ASA
25 Feb
Londrina
1 : 0
SC Penedense
21 Feb
Miguelense
0 : 1
SC Penedense
07 Feb
ASA
2 : 0
SC Penedense
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Coruripe

(Away)
18 Mar
Coruripe
1 : 1
Cruzeiro Arapiraca
14 Mar
CRB
5 : 1
Coruripe
12 Feb
Coruripe
2 : 1
CSA
07 Feb
Coruripe
2 : 1
CRB
04 Feb
Dimensao Capela
0 : 2
Coruripe
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Clube Sociedade Esportiva3
CSA2
SC Penedense4
Coruripe1
Final
Clube Sociedade Esportiva2
SC Penedense1