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Stadium Background

SC Penedense vs Zumbi

Brazil Brazil

Copa Alagoas Estádio Alfredo Leahy, Penedo
SC Penedense Logo

SC Penedense

2 - 2
FT
Zumbi Logo

Zumbi

Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
dos Santos Lima L.
34' Event
Souza M.
46' Event
Darli
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-2. This leg finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
SC Penedense
30%
Draws
47%
Zumbi
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Zumbi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Zumbi lately — more wins on the board than SC Penedense.
  • Model gives Zumbi a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Zumbi arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61%
SC Penedense Clean Sheet 17%
Zumbi Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC Penedense Zumbi
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 4 16
Draws 9 8
Losses 17 8
Goals Scored 0.4 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.07 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.84 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2026 Copa Alagoas
SC Penedense vs Zumbi
2:2
Feb 4, 2024 Copa Alagoas
Zumbi vs SC Penedense
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SC Penedense Compare

Top Goalscorer Darli
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.42

Zumbi Compare

Top Goalscorer dos Santos Lima L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Souza M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Penedense 28 / 100
Zumbi 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC Penedense Zumbi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zumbi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: SC Penedense scored in 30% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Zumbi conceded in 47% of 32 recent games.

Recent resilience: SC Penedense stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SC Penedense VS Zumbi
0.43 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
29% Over 1.5 88%
14% Over 2.5 63%
14% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

SC Penedense

(Home)
18 Mar
SC Penedense
2 : 2
Zumbi
02 Mar
SC Penedense
0 : 1
ASA
25 Feb
Londrina
1 : 0
SC Penedense
21 Feb
Miguelense
0 : 1
SC Penedense
07 Feb
ASA
2 : 0
SC Penedense
Page 1 of 6

Zumbi

(Away)
31 May
Sporting FC
2 : 2
Zumbi
24 May
Zumbi
0 : 2
Sporting FC
17 May
Zumbi
1 : 0
Alianca
10 May
Alianca
0 : 0
Zumbi
02 May
Miguelense
0 : 1
Zumbi
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CSA 4 3 0 1 11:3 9
2 CRB 4 2 1 1 7:4 7
3 Coruripe 4 2 1 1 6:7 7
4 Cruzeiro Arapiraca 4 0 3 1 4:7 3
5 Dimensao Capela 4 0 1 3 3:10 1
6 Alianca 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Copa Alagoas (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ASA 5 4 1 0 10:1 13
2 Clube Sociedade Esportiva 5 4 1 0 10:2 13
3 Zumbi 5 2 1 2 8:9 7
4 Murici 5 2 0 3 7:5 6
5 SC Penedense 5 1 1 3 3:5 4
6 Miguelense 5 0 0 5 2:18 0
Promotion - Copa Alagoas (Play Offs)