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SC Poltava vs Kremin Prediction & H2H Stats

Ukraine Ukraine

Persha Liga 2024/2025 Lokomotyv Stadium, Poltava
Our Tip

Match Events

30'
Danylenko V.
30'
Zlatyev Z.
37' Event
Misyura Y.

AI Match Summary

SC Poltava in this Persha Liga 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored SC Poltava.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
SC Poltava
30%
Draws
16%
Kremin
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: SC Poltava

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • SC Poltava have won more games recently than Kremin.
  • Model gives SC Poltava a 54% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Persha Liga 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and SC Poltava have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
SC Poltava Clean Sheet 14%
Kremin Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC Poltava Kremin
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 5
Draws 8 7
Losses 15 18
Goals Scored 1.17 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 8, 2024 Persha Liga
Kremin vs SC Poltava
0:0
Sep 16, 2024 Persha Liga
SC Poltava vs Kremin
4:2
Mar 9, 2024 Club Friendly
SC Poltava vs Kremin
4:0
Oct 29, 2023 Persha Liga
SC Poltava vs Kremin
4:1
Aug 28, 2023 Persha Liga
Kremin vs SC Poltava
0:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SC Poltava Compare

Top Goalscorer Misyura Y.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Marusych M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Kremin Compare

Top Goalscorer Molko V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dykhtyaruk O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Poltava 84 / 100
Kremin 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC Poltava Kremin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SC Poltava Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.

Kremin has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

SC Poltava has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Away concern: Kremin has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

SC Poltava VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
2.25 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

SC Poltava

(Home)
02 Oct
SC Poltava
3 : 2
FC Chernihiv
26 Sept
Kulikiv
2 : 1
SC Poltava
20 Sept
SC Poltava
3 : 0
Metalist Kharkiv
12 Sept
Lokomotyv Kyiv
2 : 1
SC Poltava
04 Sept
SC Poltava
0 : 0
Inhulets
Page 1 of 6

Kremin

(Away)
23 May
Kremin
0 : 2
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
17 May
Minaj
3 : 0
Kremin
11 May
Kremin
0 : 0
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998)
03 May
Nyva Ternopil
3 : 1
Kremin
19 Apr
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
1 : 1
Kremin
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Epitsentr 14 8 5 1 21:7 29
2 Ahrobiznes Volochysk 14 9 1 4 16:13 28
3 Metalist Kharkiv 14 6 4 4 20:11 22
4 Bukovyna 14 5 5 4 11:11 20
5 Nyva Ternopil 14 4 4 6 13:17 16
6 Minaj 14 4 4 6 12:20 16
7 Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) 14 3 4 7 14:18 13
8 FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi 14 1 5 8 9:19 8
9 Khust 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Persha Liga 2024/2025 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Persha Liga 2024/2025 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kudrivka 16 9 4 3 22:12 31
2 FC Kharkiv 16 8 5 3 21:10 29
3 SC Poltava 16 8 5 3 24:14 29
4 UCSA 16 8 4 4 31:21 28
5 Victoria 16 6 5 5 23:12 23
6 Fenix Mariupol 16 5 3 8 17:23 18
7 MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya 16 4 5 7 15:22 17
8 Dinaz Vyshgorod 16 3 4 9 12:28 13
9 Kremin 16 2 3 11 9:32 9
Promotion - Persha Liga 2024/2025 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Persha Liga 2024/2025 (Relegation Group)