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SC Poltava vs Shakhtar

Ukraine Ukraine

Premier League 2025/2026 Zirka Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Sukhoruchko D.
44'
Sub
Veremiyenko O. In: Kotsyumaka I.
Out: Veremiyenko O.
45' Event
Kryskiv D.
Assist: Traore L.

AI Match Summary

Shakhtar in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Shakhtar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
SC Poltava
6%
Draws
90%
Shakhtar
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Shakhtar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Shakhtar lately — more wins on the board than SC Poltava.
  • Shakhtar are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
SC Poltava Clean Sheet 10%
Shakhtar Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC Poltava Shakhtar
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 2 21
Draws 6 4
Losses 20 6
Goals Scored 0.75 1.75
Goals Conceded 2.38 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Premier League
SC Poltava vs Shakhtar
0:4
Nov 9, 2025 Premier League
Shakhtar vs SC Poltava
7:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SC Poltava Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Shakhtar Compare

Top Goalscorer Isaque Silva
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kryskiv D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Poltava 10 / 100
Shakhtar 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC Poltava Shakhtar

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SHA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:7
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Shakhtar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 31 matches.

SC Poltava's goal record stands at 43% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

SC Poltava went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SC Poltava VS Shakhtar
0.75 Goals Scored 1.75
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Shakhtar30226271:2172
2LNZ Cherkasy30186639:1760
3Polissya Zhytomyr30185751:2159
4Dynamo Kyiv30176766:3657
5FC Kharkiv301312536:1951
6Kolos Kovalivka301310730:2549
7Kryvbas30139853:4648
8Zorya301210842:3646
9Karpaty Lviv301011940:3141
10Epitsentr30881436:4532
11Veres Rivne307101326:4031
12Obolon307101328:4931
13Kudrivka30771632:4828
14Rukh Lviv30632120:5121
15Oleksandriya30381924:5817
16SC Poltava30272123:7413