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SC Poltava vs Skoruk Tomakovka - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ukraine Ukraine

Persha Liga 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Shcherbak D.
25'
Sub
Kotsyumaka I. In: Zayets S.
Out: Kotsyumaka I.
28'
Shapovalov S.

AI Match Summary

The Persha Liga 2022/2023 game between SC Poltava and Skoruk Tomakovka finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Skoruk Tomakovka.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
SC Poltava
35%
Draws
32%
Skoruk Tomakovka
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Skoruk Tomakovka's 1.14 goals per match outpaces what SC Poltava have produced (1.07).
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Persha Liga 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Skoruk Tomakovka have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
SC Poltava Clean Sheet 14%
Skoruk Tomakovka Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC Poltava Skoruk Tomakovka
Matches Played 30 22
Wins 6 6
Draws 7 10
Losses 17 6
Goals Scored 1.07 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.87 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 27, 2022 Persha Liga
Skoruk Tomakovka vs SC Poltava
2:0
Oct 9, 2022 Persha Liga
SC Poltava vs Skoruk Tomakovka
1:3
Nov 13, 2021 Druha Liga
Skoruk Tomakovka vs SC Poltava
3:1
Aug 8, 2021 Druha Liga
SC Poltava vs Skoruk Tomakovka
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SC Poltava Compare

Top Goalscorer Shcherbak D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Skoruk Tomakovka Compare

Top Goalscorer Mishurenko O.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Poltava 31 / 100
Skoruk Tomakovka 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC Poltava Skoruk Tomakovka

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.25 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Skoruk Tomakovka conceded in 68% of 22 recent games.

SC Poltava went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: SC Poltava scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

SC Poltava VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
2.25 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

SC Poltava

(Home)
02 Oct
SC Poltava
3 : 2
FC Chernihiv
26 Sept
Kulikiv
2 : 1
SC Poltava
20 Sept
SC Poltava
3 : 0
Metalist Kharkiv
12 Sept
Lokomotyv Kyiv
2 : 1
SC Poltava
04 Sept
SC Poltava
0 : 0
Inhulets
Page 1 of 6

Skoruk Tomakovka

(Away)
26 May
Skoruk Tomakovka
0 : 0
Bukovyna
20 May
Fenix Mariupol
0 : 3
Skoruk Tomakovka
14 May
Skoruk Tomakovka
0 : 0
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998)
06 May
Dinaz Vyshgorod
1 : 1
Skoruk Tomakovka
30 Apr
Bukovyna
1 : 1
Skoruk Tomakovka
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Polissya Zhytomyr 14 13 1 0 34:6 40
2 Karpaty Lviv 14 9 1 4 22:13 28
3 Epitsentr 14 8 3 3 17:11 27
4 Nyva Ternopil 14 5 5 4 15:8 20
5 Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) 14 4 3 7 11:22 15
6 Dinaz Vyshgorod 14 2 4 8 14:28 10
7 Bukovyna 14 2 3 9 9:21 9
8 Fenix Mariupol 14 1 4 9 12:25 7
Promotion - Persha Liga 2022/2023 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Persha Liga 2022/2023 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 LNZ Cherkasy 14 9 3 2 22:6 30
2 Obolon 14 9 2 3 20:9 29
3 Kremin 14 6 3 5 28:24 21
4 MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya 14 5 5 4 17:16 20
5 FC Chernihiv 14 4 4 6 13:17 16
6 SC Poltava 14 4 3 7 15:19 15
7 Skoruk Tomakovka 14 3 5 6 15:22 14
8 Hirnyk-Sport 14 1 5 8 8:25 8
Promotion - Persha Liga 2022/2023 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Persha Liga 2022/2023 (Relegation Group)