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SC Pombal vs Fatima - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2024/2025 Estádio Municipal de Pombal, Pombal
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Moreno Tavares Cunha M.
45' Event
Moreno Tavares Cunha M.
67' Event
Silva T.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2024/2025 game between SC Pombal and Fatima finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fatima.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
SC Pombal
15%
Draws
51%
Fatima
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fatima

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Fatima come out ahead of SC Pombal on wins alone.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Fatima taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Fatima have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
SC Pombal Clean Sheet 22%
Fatima Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC Pombal Fatima
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 10 12
Draws 8 9
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.13 1.35
Goals Conceded 1.47 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 16, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
SC Pombal vs Fatima
0:3
Nov 30, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Fatima vs SC Pombal
0:0
Sep 16, 2012 Taça de Portugal
Fatima vs SC Pombal
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SC Pombal Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Fatima Compare

Top Goalscorer Moreno Tavares Cunha M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Silva T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Pombal 21 / 100
Fatima 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC Pombal Fatima

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fatima Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SC Pombal scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Fatima has conceded goals in 61% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 2.67 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: SC Pombal remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Fatima
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

SC Pombal

(Home)
13 Apr
SC Pombal
1 : 3
Marinhense
06 Apr
O Elvas CAD
4 : 0
SC Pombal
29 Mar
GD Peniche
0 : 3
SC Pombal
16 Mar
SC Pombal
0 : 3
Fatima
09 Mar
SB Castelo Branco
1 : 3
SC Pombal
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Fatima

(Away)
20 Sept
Fatima
4 : 1
Vinhais
13 Sept
Fatima
0 : 1
Oliveira Hospital
06 Sept
Os Marialvas
3 : 0
Fatima
29 Aug
Fatima
3 : 1
SB Castelo Branco
23 Aug
Fatima
5 : 0
Malveira
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 O Elvas CAD 26 20 5 1 41:10 65
2 Fatima 26 14 7 5 30:12 49
3 Arronches Benfica 26 13 9 4 27:17 48
4 GD Peniche 26 10 9 7 31:23 39
5 Os Marialvas 26 9 10 7 30:28 37
6 Mortagua FC 26 8 13 5 23:21 37
7 Marinhense 26 9 9 8 24:21 36
8 Alverca B 26 9 8 9 28:25 35
9 SB Castelo Branco 26 8 10 8 23:21 34
10 SC Pombal 26 8 8 10 29:34 32
11 Uniao de Coimbra 26 6 7 13 26:44 25
12 Sertanense 26 4 9 13 23:33 21
13 Alcains 26 4 6 16 17:36 18
14 Pero Pinheiro 26 2 6 18 12:39 12
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025 (Promotion Group)